000 FONT12 KNHC 120233 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007 0300 UTC WED DEC 12 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAMAGUEY 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LES CAYES 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PUERTO PLATA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SANTO DOMINGO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 190N 730W 34 11 6(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 12 190N 730W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 190N 730W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 195N 760W 34 X 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 24 195N 760W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 195N 760W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 195N 785W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 36 195N 785W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 195N 785W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 195N 800W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 48 195N 800W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 195N 800W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 195N 830W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 72 195N 830W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 195N 830W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 30 25 25 25 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA