000 FONT12 KNHC 111451 PWSAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007 1500 UTC TUE DEC 11 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GRAND TURK 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAMAGUEY 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X 7( 7) 12(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) 14(14) 5(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) KINGSTON 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) LES CAYES 34 X 23(23) 8(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 4 35(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) CAPE BEATA 34 7 11(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) PUERTO PLATA 34 20 9(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) SANTO DOMINGO 34 63 1(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) PONCE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN JUAN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 180N 705W 34 24 10(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) 12 180N 705W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 180N 705W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 181N 740W 34 X 19(19) 9(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 24 181N 740W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 181N 740W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 182N 774W 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 36 182N 774W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 182N 774W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 182N 805W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) 48 182N 805W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 182N 805W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 180N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 72 180N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 180N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 30 30 25 25 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN