000 FONT12 KNHC 270249 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007 0300 UTC THU SEP 27 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 139N 467W 34 91 5(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 12 139N 467W 50 74 7(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) 12 139N 467W 64 9 5(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 24 152N 487W 34 16 52(68) 8(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) 24 152N 487W 50 1 45(46) 7(53) 1(54) X(54) 1(55) X(55) 24 152N 487W 64 X 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 36 165N 505W 34 1 17(18) 32(50) 5(55) 2(57) X(57) 1(58) 36 165N 505W 50 X 4( 4) 22(26) 5(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) 36 165N 505W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 48 175N 519W 34 X 4( 4) 19(23) 14(37) 7(44) 1(45) 1(46) 48 175N 519W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) 3(19) X(19) 1(20) 48 175N 519W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 72 194N 547W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 15(22) 6(28) 3(31) 72 194N 547W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) 1(11) 72 194N 547W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 96 210N 570W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 9(18) 3(21) 96 210N 570W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 96 210N 570W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 120 225N 585W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 4(15) 120 225N 585W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 120 225N 585W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 60 60 55 50 45 45 45 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE