000 FONT12 KNHC 250832 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007 0900 UTC TUE SEP 25 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 108N 400W 34 41 15(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) 12 108N 400W 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 12 108N 400W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 113N 430W 34 1 39(40) 14(54) 1(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) 24 113N 430W 50 X 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 24 113N 430W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 118N 457W 34 X 4( 4) 40(44) 10(54) 2(56) 1(57) X(57) 36 118N 457W 50 X X( X) 10(10) 8(18) 1(19) X(19) 1(20) 36 118N 457W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 129N 479W 34 X X( X) 13(13) 26(39) 10(49) 2(51) X(51) 48 129N 479W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 5(18) 1(19) X(19) 48 129N 479W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 160N 510W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 24(29) 9(38) 2(40) 72 160N 510W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) X(14) 72 160N 510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 96 190N 530W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 13(23) 5(28) 96 190N 530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) 96 190N 530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 120 220N 545W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 7(18) 120 220N 545W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 120 220N 545W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 45 55 60 60 55 55 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN