000 FONT12 KNHC 091449 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007 1500 UTC SUN SEP 09 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW YORK CITY 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DOVER DE 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) NORFOLK VA 34 5 10(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) CAPE HATTERAS 34 55 6(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) CAPE HATTERAS 50 16 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) MOREHEAD CITY 34 86 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 359N 758W 34 49 18(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) 12 359N 758W 50 10 4(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 12 359N 758W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 373N 739W 34 X 44(44) 13(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) 24 373N 739W 50 X 13(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 24 373N 739W 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 385N 711W 34 X 3( 3) 29(32) 7(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) 36 385N 711W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 36 385N 711W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 398N 678W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 48 398N 678W 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 398N 678W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50 50 45 40 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB