000 FONT12 KNHC 091140 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007 1200 UTC SUN SEP 09 2007 AT 1200Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) DOVER DE 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 6( 6) 10(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 5 25(30) 3(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) NORFOLK VA 50 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CAPE HATTERAS 34 39 31(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) CAPE HATTERAS 50 17 20(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) CAPE HATTERAS 64 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 74 4(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) MOREHEAD CITY 50 19 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) WILMINGTON NC 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 353N 763W 34 67 18(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) 12 353N 763W 50 29 9(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 12 353N 763W 64 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 366N 748W 34 1 53(54) 13(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) 24 366N 748W 50 X 22(22) 6(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 24 366N 748W 64 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 36 380N 725W 34 X 4( 4) 35(39) 6(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) 36 380N 725W 50 X 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 36 380N 725W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 392N 696W 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 17(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 48 392N 696W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 392N 696W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 55 55 50 40 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN