000 FONT12 KNHC 022034 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022007 2100 UTC SAT JUN 02 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) NEW YORK CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 10(10) 11(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BALTIMORE MD 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) DOVER DE 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 6(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) WASHINGTON DC 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 1( 1) 17(18) 5(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) NORFOLK VA 34 X 7( 7) 18(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) RALEIGH NC 34 X 17(17) 1(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 10(10) 10(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 23(23) 4(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 3 35(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) WILMINGTON NC 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COLUMBIA SC 34 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MYRTLE BEACH 34 13 33(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) MYRTLE BEACH 50 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHARLESTON SC 34 30 12(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) CHARLESTON SC 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAVANNAH GA 34 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) JACKSONVILLE 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 330N 800W 34 29 13(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) 12 330N 800W 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 12 330N 800W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 355N 780W 34 X 29(29) 3(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) 24 355N 780W 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 24 355N 780W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 390N 750W 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 36 390N 750W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 390N 750W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 420N 720W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 48 420N 720W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 420N 720W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 40 40 40 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA