000 FONT12 KNHC 012037 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022007 2100 UTC FRI JUN 01 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) X(15) X(15) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 6(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SAVANNAH GA 34 X 3( 3) 22(25) 3(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 23(23) 14(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) JACKSONVILLE 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 12(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ORLANDO FL 34 X 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FT MYERS FL 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VENICE FL 34 1 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) TAMPA FL 34 X 27(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 47(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 12(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ST MARKS FL 34 X 17(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) APALACHICOLA 34 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 265N 845W 34 60 4(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) 12 265N 845W 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 12 265N 845W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 300N 830W 34 X 39(39) 5(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) 24 300N 830W 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 24 300N 830W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 330N 810W 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 36 330N 810W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 330N 810W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 350N 780W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) 48 350N 780W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 350N 780W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 410N 705W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 72 410N 705W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 410N 705W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 45 30 30 30 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA