000 FONT11 KNHC 031455 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM EARL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062022 1500 UTC SAT SEP 03 2022 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) AGUADILLA PR 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) VIEQUES PR 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAINT THOMAS 34 2 5( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) SAINT JOHN 34 3 5( 8) 2(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) SAINT CROIX 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT MAARTEN 34 28 1(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) 1(31) X(31) SABA 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ST EUSTATIUS 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BARBUDA 34 8 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ANTIGUA 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER REINHART