000 FONT11 KNHC 160831 PWSAT1 HURRICANE IOTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL312020 0900 UTC MON NOV 16 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PUERTO BARRIOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GUANAJA 34 2 7( 9) 10(19) 2(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) GUANAJA 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 78 21(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PUERTO CABEZAS 50 9 79(88) 4(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) PUERTO CABEZAS 64 3 66(69) 7(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) BLUEFIELDS 34 3 11(14) 3(17) X(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) BLUEFIELDS 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN ANDRES 34 93 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) SAN ANDRES 50 8 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SAN ANDRES 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LIMON 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART