000 FONT11 KNHC 091448 PWSAT1 HURRICANE DELTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL262020 1500 UTC FRI OCT 09 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DELTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOBILE AL 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GULFPORT MS 34 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) STENNIS MS 34 4 10(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) BURAS LA 34 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GFMX 280N 890W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) JACKSON MS 34 2 45(47) 7(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) JACKSON MS 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 21 15(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) GFMX 280N 910W 34 11 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) BATON ROUGE LA 34 82 11(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) BATON ROUGE LA 50 2 8(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MORGAN CITY LA 34 83 4(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) MORGAN CITY LA 50 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MORGAN CITY LA 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 87 12(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 5 73(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) ALEXANDRIA LA 64 1 35(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) LAFAYETTE LA 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LAFAYETTE LA 50 37 23(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) LAFAYETTE LA 64 10 16(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) NEW IBERIA LA 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW IBERIA LA 50 27 11(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) NEW IBERIA LA 64 8 7(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) GFMX 280N 930W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 930W 50 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) GFMX 280N 930W 64 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) SHREVEPORT LA 34 4 16(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) FORT POLK LA 34 93 5(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) FORT POLK LA 50 18 42(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) FORT POLK LA 64 3 15(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) LAKE CHARLES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LAKE CHARLES 50 87 5(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) LAKE CHARLES 64 58 12(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) CAMERON LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAMERON LA 50 96 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) CAMERON LA 64 80 2(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) JASPER TX 34 80 5(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) JASPER TX 50 8 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) JASPER TX 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) KOUNTZE TX 34 82 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) KOUNTZE TX 50 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) KOUNTZE TX 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 36 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) PORT ARTHUR TX 64 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GALVESTON TX 34 81 X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) HOUSTON TX 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FREEPORT TX 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 950W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) HIGH ISLAND TX 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MATAGORDA TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA NAS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KEESLER AB 34 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN