000 FONT11 KNHC 101158 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062020 1200 UTC FRI JUL 10 2020 AT 1200Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BAR HARBOR ME 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AUGUSTA ME 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PORTLAND ME 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) CONCORD NH 34 X 8( 8) 12(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X 5( 5) 8(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) WORCESTER MA 34 X 16(16) 8(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X 25(25) 7(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) SPRINGFIELD MA 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X 9( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) HYANNIS MA 34 X 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NANTUCKET MA 34 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PROVIDENCE RI 34 2 14(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 2 36(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW HAVEN CT 34 1 37(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) NEW HAVEN CT 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HARTFORD CT 34 1 30(31) 4(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) HARTFORD CT 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW LONDON CT 34 1 24(25) 3(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) ALBANY NY 34 X 14(14) 5(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) ALBANY NY 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 1 22(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) POUGHKEEPSIE 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 6 20(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) ISLIP NY 34 5 37(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) ISLIP NY 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 14 34(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 4 32(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 5 26(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) NEWARK NJ 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TRENTON NJ 34 7 13(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) NWS EARLE NJ 34 14 26(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) NWS EARLE NJ 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ALLENTOWN PA 34 2 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PHILADELPHIA 34 10 5(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ATLANTIC CITY 34 38 5(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) ATLANTIC CITY 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BALTIMORE MD 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 13 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 28 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 24 X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) OCEAN CITY MD 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN