000 FONT11 KNHC 171658 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112019 1700 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 AT 1700Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FORT POLK LA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LAKE CHARLES 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAMERON LA 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) JASPER TX 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) KOUNTZE TX 34 6 5(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 7 2( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) GALVESTON TX 34 30 2(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) HOUSTON TX 34 24 6(30) 2(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) HOUSTON TX 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUSTIN TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FREEPORT TX 34 19 9(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) GFMX 280N 950W 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 17 2(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) MATAGORDA TX 34 13 2(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) PORT O CONNOR 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BROWN