000 FONT11 KNHC 072050 PWSAT1 HURRICANE NATE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162017 2100 UTC SAT OCT 07 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS ...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ATLANTA GA 34 1 7( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ST MARKS FL 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) APALACHICOLA 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 290N 850W 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PANAMA CITY FL 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) COLUMBUS GA 34 3 8(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 3 75(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) MONTGOMERY AL 34 5 43(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WHITING FLD FL 34 45 8(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) WHITING FLD FL 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 58 5(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) PENSACOLA FL 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 17 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MOBILE AL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOBILE AL 50 71 4(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) MOBILE AL 64 14 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) GULFPORT MS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GULFPORT MS 50 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) GULFPORT MS 64 66 1(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) STENNIS MS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) STENNIS MS 50 56 X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) STENNIS MS 64 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BURAS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BURAS LA 50 29 X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) BURAS LA 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 890W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 890W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 890W 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) JACKSON MS 34 16 11(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 62 X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) GFMX 280N 910W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BATON ROUGE LA 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MORGAN CITY LA 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LAFAYETTE LA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW IBERIA LA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN