000 FONT11 KNHC 110243 PWSAT1 HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 48 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 0300 UTC MON SEP 11 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS ...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) FLORENCE SC 34 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) COLUMBIA SC 34 4 16(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GEORGETOWN SC 34 6 13(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) CHARLESTON SC 34 30 7(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 45 8(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) ATLANTA GA 34 5 23(28) 10(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) AUGUSTA GA 34 17 22(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) SAVANNAH GA 34 58 8(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) KINGS BAY GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KINGS BAY GA 50 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) WAYCROSS GA 34 81 13(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) WAYCROSS GA 50 4 14(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAYPORT NS FL 50 11 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSONVILLE 50 20 4(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GAINESVILLE FL 50 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) GAINESVILLE FL 64 29 2(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DAYTONA BEACH 50 62 X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) THE VILLAGES 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) THE VILLAGES 64 67 X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ORLANDO FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ORLANDO FL 64 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) COCOA BEACH FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PATRICK AFB 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT PIERCE FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) W PALM BEACH 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT LAUDERDALE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT LAUDERDALE 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MIAMI FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MIAMI FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MARATHON FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KEY WEST FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NAPLES FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NAPLES FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT MYERS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT MYERS FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT MYERS FL 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) VENICE FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) VENICE FL 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TAMPA FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TAMPA FL 64 66 X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CEDAR KEY FL 50 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) CEDAR KEY FL 64 16 X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 55 21(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 2 26(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) ST MARKS FL 34 64 11(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) ST MARKS FL 50 5 23(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) APALACHICOLA 34 31 3(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) GFMX 290N 850W 34 27 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) PANAMA CITY FL 34 16 5(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) COLUMBUS GA 34 9 51(60) 9(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) COLUMBUS GA 50 X 10(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) COLUMBUS GA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X 9( 9) 13(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) MONTGOMERY AL 34 6 11(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) WHITING FLD FL 34 6 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PENSACOLA FL 34 5 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GFMX 290N 870W 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MOBILE AL 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HAVANA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG