000 FONT11 KNHC 220833 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM OTTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016 0900 UTC TUE NOV 22 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OTTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 1(15) X(15) BLUEFIELDS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 13(17) 24(41) 2(43) X(43) BLUEFIELDS 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) X(15) X(15) BLUEFIELDS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN ANDRES 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 19(36) 8(44) X(44) X(44) SAN ANDRES 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) SAN ANDRES 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LIMON 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 13(17) 17(34) 1(35) X(35) LIMON 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) X(12) X(12) LIMON 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COLON 34 1 4( 5) 4( 9) 3(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) COLON 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN