000 FONT11 KNHC 220245 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM OTTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016 0300 UTC TUE NOV 22 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OTTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 11(18) 3(21) X(21) PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) PUERTO CABEZAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BLUEFIELDS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 30(43) 4(47) X(47) BLUEFIELDS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 2(18) X(18) BLUEFIELDS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) SAN ANDRES 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 21(35) 13(48) 1(49) X(49) SAN ANDRES 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 7(17) 1(18) X(18) SAN ANDRES 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LIMON 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 18(31) 4(35) X(35) LIMON 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11) X(11) LIMON 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COLON 34 1 4( 5) 5(10) 4(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) COLON 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BROWN