000 FONT11 KNHC 210844 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162016 0900 UTC MON NOV 21 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 9(13) 5(18) 1(19) PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) BLUEFIELDS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 5( 6) 16(22) 11(33) 2(35) BLUEFIELDS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) BLUEFIELDS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) SAN ANDRES 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 14(21) 18(39) 5(44) 1(45) SAN ANDRES 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 3(14) X(14) SAN ANDRES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) LIMON 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 16(22) 9(31) 1(32) LIMON 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) LIMON 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) COLON 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) 8(20) 2(22) X(22) COLON 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER STEWART