000 FONT11 KNHC 142044 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM JULIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112016 2100 UTC WED SEP 14 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) SURF CITY NC 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 2(13) 1(14) 1(15) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 6(14) 4(18) 1(19) X(19) BALD HEAD ISL 34 1 9(10) 8(18) 7(25) 4(29) 1(30) 1(31) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FLORENCE SC 34 1 5( 6) 4(10) 5(15) 4(19) 1(20) 1(21) COLUMBIA SC 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 5(13) 2(15) 1(16) LITTLE RIVER 34 1 13(14) 9(23) 7(30) 3(33) 2(35) X(35) LITTLE RIVER 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 4 19(23) 8(31) 7(38) 4(42) 1(43) 1(44) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GEORGETOWN SC 34 23 21(44) 7(51) 5(56) 2(58) 1(59) 1(60) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CHARLESTON SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHARLESTON SC 50 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) 1(11) CHARLESTON SC 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 58 5(63) 1(64) 2(66) 4(70) 1(71) X(71) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 3(14) 2(16) SAVANNAH GA 34 15 4(19) 2(21) 5(26) 9(35) 2(37) 1(38) SAVANNAH GA 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) KINGS BAY GA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 10(16) 3(19) 1(20) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 3(15) 2(17) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 10(15) 3(18) 2(20) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) JACKSONVILLE 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 4(16) 1(17) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) 1(11) THE VILLAGES 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH