000 FONT11 KNHC 282045 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 2100 UTC MON SEP 28 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 7(21) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 6(19) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 4(13) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH