000 FONT11 KNHC 081458 PWSAT1 SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 1500 UTC FRI MAY 08 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 1(13) RICHMOND VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 6( 9) 4(13) 1(14) NORFOLK NAS 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 7(12) 7(19) X(19) NORFOLK VA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 7(12) 7(19) 1(20) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) X(14) GREENSBORO NC 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 7(16) 2(18) X(18) RALEIGH NC 34 2 3( 5) 4( 9) 5(14) 10(24) 2(26) X(26) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 4 4( 8) 4(12) 1(13) 7(20) 5(25) 1(26) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) 6(17) 2(19) X(19) MOREHEAD CITY 34 12 8(20) 7(27) 3(30) 7(37) 2(39) X(39) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) WILMINGTON NC 34 18 14(32) 9(41) 5(46) 5(51) 2(53) X(53) WILMINGTON NC 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) COLUMBIA SC 34 3 6( 9) 6(15) 5(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 21 19(40) 12(52) 5(57) 4(61) X(61) X(61) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CHARLESTON SC 34 13 14(27) 12(39) 4(43) 4(47) X(47) X(47) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) SAVANNAH GA 34 5 5(10) 6(16) 4(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) MAYPORT NS 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) JACKSONVILLE 34 2 1( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) DAYTONA BEACH 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PATRICK AFB 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE