000 FONT11 KNHC 042056 PWSAT1 HURRICANE ARTHUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014 2100 UTC FRI JUL 04 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 12(12) 30(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PTX BASQUES 34 X 1( 1) 29(30) 27(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X 12(12) 36(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SYDNEY NS 34 X 5( 5) 37(42) 6(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) HALIFAX NS 34 2 50(52) 8(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) HALIFAX NS 50 X 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) YARMOUTH NS 34 13 82(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) YARMOUTH NS 50 X 53(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) YARMOUTH NS 64 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MONCTON NB 34 1 63(64) 12(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) MONCTON NB 50 X 13(13) 13(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) MONCTON NB 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ST JOHN NB 34 2 76(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) ST JOHN NB 50 X 24(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) ST JOHN NB 64 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) EASTPORT ME 34 3 62(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) EASTPORT ME 50 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) EASTPORT ME 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BAR HARBOR ME 34 4 25(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) AUGUSTA ME 34 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PORTLAND ME 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CONCORD NH 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BOSTON MA 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HYANNIS MA 34 71 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) HYANNIS MA 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NANTUCKET MA 50 28 X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) NANTUCKET MA 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PROVIDENCE RI 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTAUK POINT 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BROWN