000 FONT11 KNHC 060233 PWSAT1 HURRICANE TOMAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 0300 UTC SAT NOV 06 2010 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X X 1 5 19 31 NA TROP DEPRESSION X 3 9 23 36 38 NA TROPICAL STORM 53 67 68 61 39 28 NA HURRICANE 47 29 22 12 6 3 NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 44 27 18 10 5 3 NA HUR CAT 2 3 2 3 1 1 X NA HUR CAT 3 X 1 1 X X X NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65KT 60KT 55KT 45KT 30KT 20KT NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GREAT EXUMA 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN SALVADOR 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MAYAGUANA 34 24 5(29) 2(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) MAYAGUANA 50 4 X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MAYAGUANA 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GRAND TURK 34 92 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) GRAND TURK 50 19 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) GRAND TURK 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LES CAYES 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GONAIVES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAPE BEATA 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 5 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SANTO DOMINGO 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS