000 FONT11 KNHC 282032 PWSAT1 HURRICANE KYLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008 2100 UTC SUN SEP 28 2008 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS ...75 MPH...120 KM/HR. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X 2 7 23 NA NA NA TROP DEPRESSION 1 23 30 35 NA NA NA TROPICAL STORM 71 70 56 37 NA NA NA HURRICANE 28 6 7 6 NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 26 5 7 5 NA NA NA HUR CAT 2 1 X X 1 NA NA NA HUR CAT 3 1 X X X NA NA NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X NA NA NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X NA NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 55KT 45KT 35KT 25KT NA NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BURGEO NFLD 34 X 6( 6) 4(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) PTX BASQUES 34 3 14(17) 7(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) PTX BASQUES 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 39 12(51) 1(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) EDDY POINT NS 50 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SYDNEY NS 34 15 12(27) 2(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) SABLE ISLAND 34 16 2(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) HALIFAX NS 34 93 2(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) HALIFAX NS 50 43 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) HALIFAX NS 64 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) YARMOUTH NS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) YARMOUTH NS 50 72 X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) YARMOUTH NS 64 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) MONCTON NB 34 70 13(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) MONCTON NB 50 21 13(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) MONCTON NB 64 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) ST JOHN NB 34 68 3(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) ST JOHN NB 50 21 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) ST JOHN NB 64 8 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) EASTPORT ME 34 40 1(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) EASTPORT ME 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EASTPORT ME 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BAR HARBOR ME 34 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) AUGUSTA ME 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORTLAND ME 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BOSTON MA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH