000 FONT11 KNHC 280246 PWSAT1 HURRICANE KYLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008 0300 UTC SUN SEP 28 2008 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS ...75 MPH...120 KM/HR. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT. - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - - VALID TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DISSIPATED X X 2 17 30 NA NA TROP DEPRESSION X 4 14 38 30 NA NA TROPICAL STORM 49 67 64 43 36 NA NA HURRICANE 50 29 19 3 5 NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HUR CAT 1 48 27 17 3 4 NA NA HUR CAT 2 2 2 2 1 1 NA NA HUR CAT 3 X X 1 X X NA NA HUR CAT 4 X X X X X NA NA HUR CAT 5 X X X X X NA NA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65KT 60KT 45KT 35KT 30KT NA NA II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 13(13) 2(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) EDDY POINT NS 34 X 7( 7) 21(28) X(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X 1( 1) 18(19) 1(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) HALIFAX NS 34 X 30(30) 21(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) HALIFAX NS 50 X 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) YARMOUTH NS 34 2 78(80) 5(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) YARMOUTH NS 50 X 36(36) 10(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) YARMOUTH NS 64 X 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) MONCTON NB 34 X 23(23) 44(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) MONCTON NB 50 X 1( 1) 27(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ST JOHN NB 34 X 49(49) 29(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) ST JOHN NB 50 X 9( 9) 27(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) ST JOHN NB 64 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) EASTPORT ME 34 X 60(60) 15(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) EASTPORT ME 50 X 15(15) 17(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) EASTPORT ME 64 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BAR HARBOR ME 34 1 53(54) 4(58) X(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) BAR HARBOR ME 50 X 10(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) BAR HARBOR ME 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) AUGUSTA ME 34 1 27(28) 4(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) AUGUSTA ME 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 2 16(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) CONCORD NH 34 3 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BOSTON MA 34 4 9(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) HYANNIS MA 34 15 18(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) HYANNIS MA 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 31 17(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) NANTUCKET MA 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 5 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) HARTFORD CT 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTAUK POINT 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NEW YORK CITY 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEWARK NJ 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA