000 FONT11 KNHC 102044 PWSAT1 SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012007 2100 UTC THU MAY 10 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT JACKSONVILLE 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 5 3( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) ORLANDO FL 34 3 2( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) COCOA BEACH FL 34 4 4( 8) 3(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) FT PIERCE FL 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) W PALM BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FT MYERS FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TAMPA FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 292N 798W 34 15 4(19) 2(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 12 292N 798W 50 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 292N 798W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 290N 795W 34 12 6(18) 2(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 24 290N 795W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 290N 795W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 292N 792W 34 11 4(15) 3(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 36 292N 792W 50 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 292N 792W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 296N 787W 34 4 3( 7) 3(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 48 296N 787W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 296N 787W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 25 25 20 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER KNABB