517 FZPN27 KNHC 100900 OFFPZ7 Offshore Waters Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 200 AM PDT Sun Oct 10 2021 Offshore Waters Forecast for the E Pacific within 250 nm of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. PMZ001-102100- Synopsis for the E Pacific within 250 nm of Mexico 200 AM PDT Sun Oct 10 2021 .SYNOPSIS...Tropical Depression Sixteen-E has formed near 14.3N 102.9W 1006 mb at 2 AM PDT moving WNW at 14 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt gusts 40 kt. Sixteen-E will strengthen to a tropical storm near 15.1N 105.0W this afternoon, move to 15.8N 107.2W Mon morning, then reach 16.6N 108.6W Mon afternoon. Sixteen-E is expected to become a hurricane near 17.8N 109.6W Tue morning, 19.0N 109.8W Tue afternoon, then reach 20.7N 109.4W Wed morning. Sixteen-E will move inland over Mexico early Thu. Elsewhere, a surge of high pressure will likely lead to strong winds both W of Baja California Norte and in the northern Gulf of California Mon into Tue. Seas of over 12 ft may also follow this second surge offshore Baja California. $$ PMZ009-102100- Mexico Border S to 29N within 60 nm of shore- 200 AM PDT Sun Oct 10 2021 .TODAY...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 19 seconds. .TONIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 20 seconds. .MON...W to NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 18 seconds. .MON NIGHT...W to NW winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming NW 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 9 to 13 ft in SW swell. Period 17 seconds. .TUE...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in W swell. Period 16 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in W to NW swell. Period 16 seconds. .WED...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in W to NW swell. Period 16 seconds. .WED NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 15 seconds. .THU...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 15 seconds. $$ PMZ011-102100- Mexico S of 29N to Punta Eugenia- 200 AM PDT Sun Oct 10 2021 .TODAY...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Period 19 seconds. .TONIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 19 seconds. .MON...NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Period 18 seconds. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in S to SW swell. Period 17 seconds. .TUE...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft in SW swell. Period 15 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in S to SW swell. Period 15 seconds. .WED...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NW swell. Period 14 seconds. .WED NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in SE to S swell. Period 14 seconds. .THU...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in SE to S swell. Period 13 seconds. $$ PMZ013-102100- Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro to 250 nm offshore- 200 AM PDT Sun Oct 10 2021 .TODAY...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in S to SW swell. Period 20 seconds. .TONIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Period 19 seconds. .MON...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 18 seconds. .MON NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Period 17 seconds. .TUE...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in W swell. Period 16 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in W to NW swell. Period 15 seconds. .WED...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NW swell. Period 15 seconds. .WED NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in SE swell. Period 15 seconds. .THU...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in SE swell. Period 15 seconds. $$ PMZ015-102100- Cabo San Lazaro to Cabo San Lucas to 250 nm offshore- 200 AM PDT Sun Oct 10 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Period 19 seconds. .TONIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in W to NW swell. Period 19 seconds. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 30 to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 18 seconds. .MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. Within 60 nm of shore, NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Elsewhere, N winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 40 to 45 kt late. Seas 6 to 9 ft in SE to S swell. Period 17 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NW to N winds 10 kt Within 60 nm of shore, and N 55 to 65 kt Elsewhere. Seas 9 to 14 ft in SE swell. Period 16 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .THU...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NW to N swell. Period 14 seconds. $$ PMZ017-102100- Northern Gulf of California- 200 AM PDT Sun Oct 10 2021 .TODAY...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 6 seconds. .TONIGHT...W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 5 seconds. .MON...S to SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 10 seconds. .MON NIGHT...SW to W winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 7 seconds. .TUE...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, subsiding to 3 ft or less in the afternoon. Period 7 seconds, becoming 12 seconds in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 10 seconds. .WED...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 10 seconds. .WED NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 10 seconds, becoming 6 seconds late. .THU...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 13 seconds. $$ PMZ019-102100- Central Gulf of California- 200 AM PDT Sun Oct 10 2021 .TODAY...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 6 seconds. .TONIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 6 seconds. .MON...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 8 seconds, becoming 11 seconds in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 11 seconds. .TUE...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 12 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 12 seconds. .WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 13 seconds. .WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 15 seconds. .THU...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. $$ PMZ021-102100- Southern Gulf of California- 200 AM PDT Sun Oct 10 2021 .TODAY...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 20 seconds. .TONIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 19 seconds. .MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming SE to S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 19 seconds. .MON NIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 18 seconds. .TUE...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 16 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE to S winds 35 to 40 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 15 seconds. .WED...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .THU...NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming NW 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 11 ft in SE to S swell. Period 14 seconds. $$ PMZ023-102100- Entrance to the Gulf of California including Cabo Corrientes- 200 AM PDT Sun Oct 10 2021 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TODAY...SE to S winds 10 kt Near Cabo Corrientes, and NE 15 to 20 kt Elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 20 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. Near Cabo Corrientes, SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Elsewhere, E winds 35 to 40 kt, becoming E to SE 45 to 50 kt late. Seas 6 to 8 ft in S to SW swell. Period 19 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SE winds 10 to 15 kt Near Cabo Corrientes, and E to SE 50 to 60 kt Elsewhere. Seas 7 to 11 ft in S swell. Period 19 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SE winds 10 to 15 kt Near Cabo Corrientes, and SE to S 60 to 70 kt Elsewhere. Seas 9 to 14 ft in S swell. Period 18 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. Vsby 1 NM or less. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE winds 15 to 20 kt Near Cabo Corrientes, and SE to S 65 to 80 kt Elsewhere. Seas 10 to 16 ft in S to SW swell. Period 16 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .THU...Near Cabo Corrientes, SW winds 15 to 20 kt, shifting to SW to W 10 kt in the afternoon. Elsewhere, W to NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in NW swell. Period 14 seconds. $$ PMZ025-102100- Mexico - States of Michoacan and Guerrero to 250 nm offshore- 200 AM PDT Sun Oct 10 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt Within 60 nm of shore, and E to SE 30 to 35 kt Elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft in S swell. Period 20 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt Within 60 nm of shore, and S 35 to 45 kt Elsewhere. Seas 7 to 11 ft in S to SW swell. Period 19 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt Within 60 nm of shore, and S 30 to 35 kt Elsewhere. Seas 6 to 9 ft in S to SW swell. Period 18 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON NIGHT...SW to W winds 10 kt Within 60 nm of shore, and SW 20 to 25 kt Elsewhere. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Period 18 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TUE...W winds 10 kt Within 60 nm of shore, and SW 15 to 20 kt Elsewhere. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Period 17 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 10 kt Within 60 nm of shore, and SW 15 to 20 kt Elsewhere. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Period 16 seconds. .WED...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SW to W swell. Period 15 seconds. .WED NIGHT...W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in W to NW swell. Period 15 seconds. .THU...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in W to NW swell. Period 15 seconds. $$ PMZ027-102100- Mexico - States of Oaxaca and Chiapas including the Gulf of Tehuantepec- 200 AM PDT Sun Oct 10 2021 .TODAY...Offshore Gulf of Tehuantepec, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming SW to W 10 kt in the afternoon. Elsewhere, SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Period 20 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in S to SW swell. Period 19 seconds. Isolated tstms. .MON...W winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in S to SW swell. Period 18 seconds. .MON NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in S to SW swell. Period 17 seconds. .TUE...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 17 seconds. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 17 seconds. .WED...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SW swell. Period 16 seconds. .WED NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SW swell. Period 15 seconds. .THU...Variable winds less than 5 kt Offshore Gulf of Tehuantepec, and W to NW 10 to 15 kt Elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SW to W swell. Period 15 seconds. $$ Forecaster KONARIK