209 FZPN27 KNHC 212205 OFFPZ7 Offshore Waters Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 305 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2019 Offshore Waters Forecast for the E Pacific within 250 nm of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. PMZ001-221015- Synopsis for the E Pacific within 250 nm of Mexico 305 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2019 .SYNOPSIS...Tropical depression TEN-E, located about 330 nm southeast oF Manzanillo, Mexico has been upgraded at 21/2100 UTC to Tropical Storm Ivo. At this time, it is centered near 15.8N 109.5W moving WNW or 285 degrees at 17 kt. A turn to the northwest along with a decrease in forward speed is expected Thursday. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Ivo will move to 16.4N 111.6W Thu morning, 17.2N 113.8W Thu afternoon, strengthen to a hurricane near 18.2N 115.3W Fri morning, 19.5N 116.4W Fri afternoon, and weaken to a tropical storm near 22.5N 117.9W Sat afternoon. Ivo will change little in intensity as it moves to 25.8N 119.9W Sun afternoon, and then weaken to a post-tropical cyclone near 28.8N 121.9W Mon. This tropical cyclone is forecast to move parallel and very close to the western end of the offshore forecast waters. As a result, part of its circulation will continue to affect these waters. High pressure well northwest of the area will promote fresh to locally strong NW winds offshore of Baja California Norte through this evening. Low pressure over the U.S. Great Basin will induce fresh to strong SE to S winds over the Gulf of California this evening through Fri. $$ PMZ009-221015- Mexico Border S to 29N within 60 nm of shore- 305 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2019 .TONIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 14 seconds. .THU...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in W to NW swell. Period 15 seconds. .THU NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in W to NW swell. Period 14 seconds. .FRI...S to SW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in W to NW swell. Period 16 seconds. .FRI NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft in W to NW swell. Period 16 seconds. .SAT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in W to NW swell. Period 15 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S swell. Period 13 seconds. .SUN...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S swell. Period 12 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S swell. Period 12 seconds. .MON...W winds 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S swell. Period 13 seconds. $$ PMZ011-221015- Mexico S of 29N to Punta Eugenia- 305 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2019 .TONIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt Sebastian Vizcaino Bay, and NW 15 to 20 kt Elsewhere. Seas 5 to 7 ft in W to NW swell. Period 14 seconds. .THU...Sebastian Vizcaino Bay, NW to N winds 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW swell. Period 16 seconds. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW swell. Period 16 seconds. .FRI...N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW swell. Period 16 seconds. .FRI NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NW swell. Period 15 seconds. .SAT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in SE to S swell. Period 14 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SE to S swell. Period 12 seconds. .SUN... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SUN NIGHT... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .MON...Sebastian Vizcaino Bay, S to SW winds 10 kt. Elsewhere, S winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming S to SW 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in S swell. Period 13 seconds. $$ PMZ013-221015- Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro to 250 nm offshore- 305 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2019 .TONIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NW swell. Period 15 seconds. .THU...Variable winds less than 5 kt Within 60 nm of shore, and N 10 to 15 kt Elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 18 seconds. .THU NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NW swell. Period 17 seconds. .FRI...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in W swell. Period 16 seconds. .FRI NIGHT... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt Within 60 nm of shore, and NE 15 to 20 kt Elsewhere. Seas 7 to 11 ft in S swell. Period 15 seconds. .SAT... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT NIGHT... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SUN... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SUN NIGHT... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .MON...Within 60 nm of shore, W to NW winds 10 kt. Elsewhere, SW to W winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 13 seconds. $$ PMZ015-221015- Cabo San Lazaro to Cabo San Lucas to 250 nm offshore- 305 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2019 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TONIGHT... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Within 60 nm of shore, S winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in W swell. Period 19 seconds. .THU... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Within 60 nm of shore, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming SE 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Elsewhere, E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in SW swell. Period 18 seconds. .THU NIGHT... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SE winds 10 to 15 kt Within 60 nm of shore, and SE 20 to 25 kt Elsewhere. Seas 10 to 15 ft in S swell. Period 17 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SE winds 10 to 15 kt Within 60 nm of shore, and SE 20 to 25 kt Elsewhere. Seas 12 to 18 ft in S to SW swell. Period 15 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI NIGHT... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE winds 10 to 15 kt Within 60 nm of shore, and SE to S 25 to 30 kt Elsewhere. Seas 11 to 17 ft in SW swell. Period 12 seconds. .SAT... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt Within 60 nm of shore, and S 20 to 25 kt Elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft in SW swell. Period 12 seconds. .SUN...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SW to W swell. Period 13 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 13 seconds. .MON...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. $$ PMZ017-221015- Northern Gulf of California- 305 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2019 .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 5 seconds. .THU...SE to S winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 6 seconds. .THU NIGHT...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 7 seconds. .FRI...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 6 seconds. .FRI NIGHT...SE to S winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 6 seconds. .SAT...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 6 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 6 seconds. .SUN...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 5 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 4 seconds. .MON...S to SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 4 seconds. $$ PMZ019-221015- Central Gulf of California- 305 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2019 .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 13 seconds. .THU...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 11 seconds. .THU NIGHT...S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 10 seconds, becoming 8 seconds late. .FRI...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 8 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 8 seconds. .SAT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 9 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 9 seconds. .SUN...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 9 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming SW to W 10 kt late. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 8 seconds. .MON...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Period 5 seconds. $$ PMZ021-221015- Southern Gulf of California- 305 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2019 .TONIGHT...S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 16 seconds. .THU...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 18 seconds. .THU NIGHT...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 18 seconds. .FRI...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 16 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Period 13 seconds. .SAT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SE to S swell. Period 11 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 10 seconds. .SUN...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 10 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 13 seconds. .MON...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Period 13 seconds. $$ PMZ023-221015- Entrance to the Gulf of California including Cabo Corrientes- 305 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2019 .TONIGHT...SE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in S to SW swell. Period 19 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU...SE to S winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in S to SW swell. Period 18 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU NIGHT...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in S to SW swell. Period 18 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in S to SW swell. Period 16 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in S to SW swell. Period 15 seconds. .SAT...SE to S winds 10 kt, shifting to W in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft in SW swell. Period 15 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in SW swell. Period 14 seconds. .SUN...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Period 13 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. .MON...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 15 seconds. $$ PMZ025-221015- Mexico - States of Michoacan and Guerrero to 250 nm offshore- 305 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2019 .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in S to SW swell. Period 19 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in S to SW swell. Period 18 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in S to SW swell. Period 17 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI...NW to N winds 10 kt, shifting to W in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 8 ft in S to SW swell. Period 16 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SW swell. Period 15 seconds. .SAT...Within 60 nm of shore, N winds 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in SW swell. Period 15 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SW to W swell. Period 14 seconds. .SUN...Within 60 nm of shore, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming SW to W 10 kt in the afternoon. Elsewhere, N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SW to W swell. Period 13 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. .MON...W to NW winds 10 kt, shifting to SW in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 15 seconds. $$ PMZ027-221015- Mexico - States of Oaxaca and Chiapas including the Gulf of Tehuantepec- 305 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2019 .TONIGHT...SE winds 10 kt, shifting to NW late. Seas 5 to 7 ft in S to SW swell. Period 20 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to NW in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in SW swell. Period 19 seconds. .THU NIGHT...Offshore Gulf of Tehuantepec, SW to W winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Elsewhere, NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in SW swell. Period 18 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in SW swell. Period 16 seconds. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt, shifting to N to NE late. Seas 5 to 7 ft in SW swell. Period 16 seconds. .SAT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 15 seconds. .SAT NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt, shifting to E late. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 14 seconds. .SUN...N winds 10 kt, shifting to S to SW in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. Period 14 seconds. .SUN NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 14 seconds. .MON...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Period 15 seconds. $$ Forecaster KONARIK