000 FZNT24 KNHC 100909 OFFNT4 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 409 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. GMZ001-102115- Synopsis for the Gulf of Mexico 409 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Rafael is centered near 26.1N 91.8W at 10/0900 UTC or 310 nm NNW of Progreso Mexico, moving NNW at 2 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Weakening is expected through early this week, and Rafael is forecast to degenerate to a post-tropical remnant low by Monday. The storm is expected to meander over the central Gulf of Mexico through tonight, then turn toward the south and south-southwest on Monday and Tuesday. Rafael will move to 26.4N 91.7W this afternoon, weaken to a remnant low near 26.2N 90.9W Mon morning, 25.4N 90.7W Mon afternoon, 24.3N 91.3W Tue morning, 23.5N 92.5W Tue afternoon, and dissipate Wed morning. Looking ahead, moderate to locally fresh E winds will build across the eastern half of the Gulf on Wed as a cold front moves through the western Atlantic. A second cold front looks to move through the western Gulf of Mexico late this week, reinforcing fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas across most of the Gulf. $$ GMZ040-102115- NW Gulf including Stetson Bank- 409 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 .TODAY...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell. .TONIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .THU...N to NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. $$ GMZ041-102115- SW Louisiana Offshore Waters including Flower Garden Bank Marine Sanctuary- 409 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W of 92W, NE to E winds 25 to 35 kt, becoming N to NE 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. E of 92W, E winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N to NE winds 20 to 25 kt W of 92W, and N to NE 25 to 35 kt E of 92W. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...N to NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TUE...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED...SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...W of 92W, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming N to NE 10 kt late. E of 92W, SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to N late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ GMZ056-102115- N Central Gulf Offshore Waters- 409 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in SE swell. Scattered tstms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W of 89W, SE winds 25 to 35 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt late. E of 89W, SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .THU...W of 89W, N winds 10 to 15 kt. E of 89W, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ057-102115- NE Gulf N of 26N E of 87W- 409 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 .TODAY...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TONIGHT...SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .THU...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to W in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft in SE swell. $$ GMZ058-102115- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N W of 94W- 409 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 .TODAY...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TONIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt W of 96W, and N 15 to 20 kt E of 96W. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .TUE...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to W to NW late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...SW to W winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .THU...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell. $$ GMZ045-102115- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 91W and 94W- 409 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 24N, W winds 10 to 15 kt. N of 24N, W winds 25 to 35 kt, becoming W to NW 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NW winds 10 to 15 kt S of 24N, and NW 25 to 35 kt N of 24N. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON...NW winds 15 to 20 kt S of 24N, and NW to N 20 to 25 kt N of 24N. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW to N swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON NIGHT...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TUE...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt, shifting to S late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ046-102115- Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 87W and 91W- 409 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 .TODAY...S winds 10 to 15 kt S of 24N, and SE to S 25 to 30 kt N of 24N. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt S of 24N, and S 25 to 35 kt N of 24N. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt S of 24N, and SE to S 20 to 25 kt N of 24N. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 24N, and SE 15 to 20 kt N of 24N. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ047-102115- SE Gulf from 22N to 26N E of 87W including Straits of Florida- 409 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 .TODAY...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .THU...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ GMZ048-102115- SW Gulf S of 22N W of 94W- 409 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 .TODAY...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in N to NE swell. .TUE NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft in N to NE swell. .WED...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt, shifting to NW late. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU...NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 6 to 8 ft in the afternoon. $$ GMZ049-102115- Central Bay of Campeche- 409 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 .TODAY...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .MON NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in N swell. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft in N swell. .WED...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft in N swell. .WED NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ050-102115- E Bay of Campeche including Campeche Bank- 409 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2024 .TODAY...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TONIGHT...NW winds 10 kt, shifting to SW to W late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .MON...W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NW to N swell. .TUE NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt, shifting to E late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...E to SE winds 10 kt, shifting to N in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ Forecaster ADAMS