000 FZNT24 KNHC 080914 OFFNT4 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 414 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. GMZ001-082115- Synopsis for the Gulf of Mexico 414 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Rafael is centered near 24.5N 88.0W at 08/0900 UTC or 210 nm NNE of Progreso Mexico, moving W at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 956 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 105 kt with gusts to 130 kt. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible today. By tonight, a steady weakening trend is forecast and should continue through the weekend. A general westward to west-northwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected through the weekend. On the forecast track, Rafael is expected to move over the central Gulf of Mexico for the next few days. Rafael will move to 24.6N 89.3W this afternoon, 24.8N 90.6W Sat morning, 25.2N 91.6W Sat afternoon, weaken to a tropical storm near 25.5N 92.1W Sun morning, 26.0N 92.1W Sun afternoon, and 26.3N 91.4W Mon morning. Rafael will change little in intensity as it moves to 24.5N 91.5W early Tue. $$ GMZ040-082115- NW Gulf including Stetson Bank- 414 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .TODAY...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E to SE swell. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers. .SAT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E swell. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ041-082115- SW Louisiana Offshore Waters including Flower Garden Bank Marine Sanctuary- 414 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt W of 92W, and NE to E 25 to 35 kt E of 92W. Seas 9 to 14 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt W of 92W, and E 30 to 35 kt E of 92W. Seas 9 to 14 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE to E winds 30 to 35 kt W of 92W, and E 35 to 40 kt E of 92W. Seas 9 to 14 ft in SE to S swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE winds 30 to 35 kt W of 92W, and E 40 to 45 kt E of 92W. Seas 7 to 11 ft in SE to S swell. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ056-082115- N Central Gulf Offshore Waters- 414 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E to SE winds 30 to 35 kt W of 89W, and E to SE 25 to 30 kt E of 89W. Seas 9 to 13 ft in SE to S swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E to SE winds 30 to 35 kt W of 89W, and E to SE 20 to 25 kt E of 89W. Seas 7 to 11 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in SE swell. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ057-082115- NE Gulf N of 26N E of 87W- 414 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .TODAY...E to SE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in SE to S swell. Scattered showers. .TONIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in S swell. Scattered showers. .SAT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered tstms. .SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ GMZ058-082115- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N W of 94W- 414 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .TODAY...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in E swell. .TONIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell. .SAT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E swell. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers. .SUN...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E swell. .SUN NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ045-082115- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 91W and 94W- 414 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, NW winds 25 to 30 kt. N of 24N, N to NE winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming N 40 to 45 kt late. Seas 10 to 16 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED, HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W to NW winds 20 to 25 kt S of 24N, and NW to N 50 to 70 kt N of 24N. Seas 10 to 16 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W winds 15 to 20 kt S of 24N, and NW 45 to 55 kt N of 24N. Seas 9 to 14 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 24N, W winds 10 to 15 kt. N of 24N, W to NW winds 45 to 50 kt, diminishing to 35 to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E swell. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE...N to NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ046-082115- Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 87W and 91W- 414 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TODAY...HURRICANE CONDITIONS. SW to W winds 35 to 40 kt S of 24N, and NE to E 75 to 95 kt N of 24N. Seas 14 to 22 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. Vsby 1 NM or less. .TONIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S to SW winds 25 to 30 kt S of 24N, and SE 60 to 80 kt N of 24N. Seas 12 to 19 ft in NW to N swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. Vsby 1 NM or less. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, S winds 20 to 25 kt. N of 24N, SE winds 50 to 60 kt, becoming SE to S 35 to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 to 14 ft in W swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt S of 24N, and SE to S 30 to 35 kt N of 24N. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt S of 24N, and SE to S 20 to 25 kt N of 24N. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 24N, and SE to S 20 to 25 kt N of 24N. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON...S of 24N, variable winds less than 5 kt. N of 24N, SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to N to NE in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...S of 24N, variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming N to NE 10 kt late. N of 24N, NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ047-082115- SE Gulf from 22N to 26N E of 87W including Straits of Florida- 414 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in W swell. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in SW swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ048-082115- SW Gulf S of 22N W of 94W- 414 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .TODAY...N to NE winds 10 kt, shifting to S to SW in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt, shifting to NW late. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. .SAT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. .SAT NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. .SUN...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in N to NE swell. .TUE...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ049-082115- Central Bay of Campeche- 414 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .TODAY...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers. .TONIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell. .SAT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N to NE swell. .SAT NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers. .SUN...W to NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TUE...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ050-082115- E Bay of Campeche including Campeche Bank- 414 AM EST Fri Nov 8 2024 .TODAY...W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N to NE swell. Scattered showers. .TONIGHT...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N swell. Scattered showers. .SAT...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SAT NIGHT...W winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to S to SW late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SUN...S to SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .MON...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming NW to N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ Forecaster ADAMS