000 FZNT24 KNHC 060304 OFFNT4 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1004 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. GMZ001-061515- Synopsis for the Gulf of Mexico 1004 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Moderate to fresh E to SE winds will continue over the eastern half of the basin through Wed ahead of Tropical Storm Rafael, currently in the NW Caribbean. Strong E winds and rough seas in the Straits of Florida will worsen as the tropical cyclone approaches, reaching near gale force by Wed morning. Hurricane Rafael is near 19.7N 80.4W at 10 PM EST, and is moving northwest at 11 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 70 kt with gusts to 85 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 985 mb. Rafael will move to 21.2N 81.5W Wed morning, 23.0N 83.2W Wed evening, 24.3N 84.6W Thu morning, 24.8N 85.9W Thu evening, 25.1N 87.4W Fri morning, and 25.4N 89.0W Fri evening. Rafael will weaken to a tropical storm near 26.7N 91.2W late Sat. $$ GMZ040-061515- NW Gulf including Stetson Bank- 1004 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 .OVERNIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .FRI...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E to SE swell. .FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SUN...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E swell. $$ GMZ041-061515- SW Louisiana Offshore Waters including Flower Garden Bank Marine Sanctuary- 1004 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 .OVERNIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell. .FRI NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. $$ GMZ056-061515- N Central Gulf Offshore Waters- 1004 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 .OVERNIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, building to 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell in the afternoon. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE winds 15 to 20 kt W of 89W, and NE to E 25 to 30 kt E of 89W. Seas 10 to 15 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .FRI NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. $$ GMZ057-061515- NE Gulf N of 26N E of 87W- 1004 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .OVERNIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft in SE to S swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 19 ft in SE to S swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SE swell. .SAT NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ058-061515- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N W of 94W- 1004 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 .OVERNIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI...W of 96W, SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. E of 96W, E to SE winds 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E swell. .SAT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E swell. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SUN...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE to E swell. $$ GMZ045-061515- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 91W and 94W- 1004 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 .OVERNIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft in E swell. .WED...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E swell. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E swell. .FRI NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. $$ GMZ046-061515- Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 87W and 91W- 1004 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 .OVERNIGHT...NE winds 10 kt late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in E swell. .THU NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 24N, NW winds 15 to 20 kt. N of 24N, N to NE winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming N 45 to 50 kt late. Seas 10 to 15 ft in NE to E swell. .FRI...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .FRI NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. $$ GMZ047-061515- SE Gulf from 22N to 26N E of 87W including Straits of Florida- 1004 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .OVERNIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt late. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming NE 30 to 35 kt in the afternoon. N of 24N, E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, N to NE winds 60 to 70 kt, shifting to NW 70 to 80 kt late. N of 24N, NE to E winds 30 to 35 kt, increasing to 60 to 70 kt late. Seas 9 to 14 ft in E swell, building to 12 to 19 ft in E swell late. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, W winds 40 to 45 kt, becoming SW to W 30 to 35 kt in the afternoon. N of 24N, NE to E winds 70 to 80 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft in E swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 24N, S to SW winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt late. N of 24N, SE winds 65 to 80 kt. Seas 14 to 21 ft in E swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. $$ GMZ048-061515- SW Gulf S of 22N W of 94W- 1004 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 .OVERNIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED...S of 21N W of 95W, NW winds 15 to 20 kt, shifting to NW to N 10 kt in the afternoon. Elsewhere, NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .THU NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .FRI...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SAT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ049-061515- Central Bay of Campeche- 1004 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 .OVERNIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU...NE to E winds 10 kt in the morning, becoming variable less than 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NE swell. .SAT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ050-061515- E Bay of Campeche including Campeche Bank- 1004 PM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 .OVERNIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .WED...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .THU...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SAT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .SUN...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ Forecaster AL