000 FZNT24 KNHC 062207 CCA OFFNT4 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 453 PM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 Corrected synopsis Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. GMZ001-070900- Synopsis for the Gulf of Mexico 453 PM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Recently upgraded Hurricane Milton is near 22.4N 93.8W at 5 PM EDT, or about 250 nm WNW of Progreso, Mexico moving east at 6 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 75 kt with gusts to 90 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 983 mb. Milton will move to near 22.2N 92.6W late tonight, to near 22.2N 90.9W Mon afternoon with maximum sustained winds 110 kt gusts 135 kt and continue to strengthen as it reaches near 22.6N 89.0W late Mon night with maximum sustained winds 120 kt gusts 145 kt, to near 23.6N 86.9W Tue afternoon, to near 25.2N 85.1W late Tue night and to near 27.0N 83.1W Wed afternoon and continue toward the west coast of Florida Wed night. Elsewhere, low pressure of 1011 mb has developed near 26N87W with a warm front to near Fort Myers. Fresh to strong northeast to east winds are north of the low and warm front. The low will slowly shift southward through Tue and the warm front will transition to stationary front. Conditions may improve across the basin by the end of the upcoming week. $$ GMZ040-070900- NW Gulf including Stetson Bank- 453 PM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 .TONIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell. .TUE...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell. .TUE NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell. .WED...N to NE winds 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E to SE swell. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E swell. .THU...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E swell. .THU NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in E swell. .FRI...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. $$ GMZ041-070900- SW Louisiana Offshore Waters including Flower Garden Bank Marine Sanctuary- 453 PM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 .TONIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...N to NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in E swell. .TUE NIGHT...N to NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in E swell. .WED...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in E to SE swell. .WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell. .THU...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell. .THU NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E swell. .FRI...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ GMZ056-070900- N Central Gulf Offshore Waters- 453 PM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 .TONIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in S swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N to NE winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in E swell. .THU...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in E swell. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E swell. .FRI...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. $$ GMZ057-070900- NE Gulf N of 26N E of 87W- 453 PM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near numerous showers and thunderstorms. .MON...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W of 85W, NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. E of 85W, NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in SW swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 35 to 45 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft, building to 19 to 28 ft in S to SW swell late. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Vsby 1 NM or less. .WED...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .THU...N winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in NE swell. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell. .FRI...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. $$ GMZ058-070900- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N W of 94W- 453 PM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W of 96W, N winds 20 to 25 kt. E of 96W, NE winds 35 to 40 kt, becoming N to NE 25 to 30 kt late. Seas 8 to 12 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in E swell. .WED...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in E swell. .WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell. .THU...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE to E swell. .THU NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NE to E swell. .FRI...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ GMZ045-070900- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 91W and 94W- 453 PM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TONIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS. E to SE winds 65 to 75 kt S of 24N, and NE to E 20 to 25 kt N of 24N. Seas 10 to 16 ft in SW swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE winds 80 to 100 kt S of 24N, and NE 25 to 30 kt N of 24N. Seas 12 to 19 ft in SE to S swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, N winds 35 to 40 kt, diminishing to 25 to 30 kt late. N of 24N, N to NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft in E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 12 to 18 ft in NE to E swell. .WED NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE to E swell. .THU...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E swell. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E swell. .FRI...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ GMZ046-070900- Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 87W and 91W- 453 PM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to E to SE 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, SE to S winds 35 to 40 kt, increasing to 80 to 100 kt in the afternoon. N of 24N, NE to E winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SW to W swell, building to 8 to 12 ft in SW to W swell in the afternoon. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E winds 90 to 110 kt S of 24N, and NE to E 30 to 35 kt N of 24N. Seas 14 to 21 ft in SW swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Vsby 1 NM or less. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, NW winds 90 to 110 kt. N of 24N, NE winds 35 to 40 kt, becoming N to NE 45 to 55 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 to 24 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Vsby 1 NM or less. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NW to N winds 30 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED NIGHT...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in NE swell. .THU...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE swell. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell. .FRI...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. $$ GMZ047-070900- SE Gulf from 22N to 26N E of 87W including Straits of Florida- 453 PM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TONIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less, building to 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE N OF 24N. SE to S winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, S winds 35 to 40 kt, increasing to 85 to 105 kt in the afternoon. N of 24N, E to SE winds 30 to 35 kt, increasing to 50 to 60 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft in W swell, building to 12 to 18 ft in W swell in the afternoon. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Vsby 1 NM or less. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 24N, SW winds 50 to 60 kt, diminishing to 30 to 35 kt late. N of 24N, E to SE winds 90 to 110 kt, shifting to S to SW late. Seas 20 to 30 ft in W swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Vsby 1 NM or less. .WED...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .THU...NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft in N swell. .THU NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in N swell. .FRI...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. $$ GMZ048-070900- SW Gulf S of 22N W of 94W- 453 PM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 21N W of 95W, W to NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Elsewhere, NW winds 35 to 40 kt, diminishing to 25 to 30 kt late. Seas 8 to 12 ft. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .MON...NW winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft in N swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft in N to NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in NE swell. .WED NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell. .THU...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. .THU NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NE swell. .FRI...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NE swell. $$ GMZ049-070900- Central Bay of Campeche- 453 PM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. W winds 20 to 25 kt S of 20N, and SW to W 50 to 65 kt N of 20N. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NW swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 20N, W winds 25 to 30 kt. N of 20N, W to NW winds 50 to 60 kt, becoming NW 30 to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 to 17 ft in NW to N swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 19 ft in N swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft in N to NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft in N to NE swell. .WED...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft in N to NE swell. .WED NIGHT...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE swell. .THU...NW to N winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N to NE swell. .THU NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N to NE swell. .FRI...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in N to NE swell. $$ GMZ050-070900- E Bay of Campeche including Campeche Bank- 453 PM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. W of 90W, SW winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming S to SW 40 to 45 kt late. E of 90W, W winds 10 kt, shifting to S late. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered thunderstorms. .MON...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W of 90W, SW to W winds 70 to 85 kt. E of 90W, S winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 35 to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 to 12 ft in W to NW swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W of 90W, W to NW winds 60 to 65 kt, diminishing to 35 to 40 kt late. E of 90W, S to SW winds 60 to 65 kt, becoming SW 45 to 50 kt late. Seas 10 to 16 ft in NW swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W of 90W, NW winds 20 to 25 kt. E of 90W, W winds 35 to 40 kt, diminishing to 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 to 14 ft in NW to N swell. Scattered thunderstorms. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft in N swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED...NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft in N swell. .WED NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in N swell. .THU...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N swell. .THU NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N to NE swell. .FRI...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ Forecaster Aguirre