000 FZNT24 KNHC 052124 OFFNT4 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 524 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. GMZ001-060930- Synopsis for the Gulf of Mexico 524 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Recently upgraded Tropical Storm Milton is near 22.7N 95.5W at 5 PM EDT, or about 210 nm N of Veracruz, Mexico and is moving north-northeast at 3 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. Milton will move to near 22.9N 95.0W late tonight, to near 23.0N 94.1W Sun afternoon with maximum sustained winds 55 kt gusts 65 kt, and strengthen to a hurricane near 23.0N 92.8W late Sun night with maximum sustained winds 70 kt gusts 85 kt. Milton is forecast to reach near 23.1N 91.2W Mon afternoon with maximum sustained winds 80 kt gusts 100 kt, and continue to strengthen as it reaches near 23.8N 89.3W late Mon night, to near 24.8N 87.2W Tue afternoon with maximum sustained winds 100 kt gusts 120 kt and change little in intensity as it moves to near 27.7N 83.0W by Wed afternoon, and track across central Florida into Wed night. Increasing winds and seas are expected over most of the northern and western Gulf sections beginning Sun. Conditions should improve across the basin once Milton departs the basin. Swells generated by Milton are expected to affect most of the Gulf by early next week. $$ GMZ040-060930- NW Gulf including Stetson Bank- 524 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...N to NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E swell. .TUE NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell. .WED...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E swell. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft in E swell late. .THU...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in E swell. $$ GMZ041-060930- SW Louisiana Offshore Waters including Flower Garden Bank Marine Sanctuary- 524 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...N to NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in E swell. .TUE NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in E swell. .WED...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in E swell. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell. .THU...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell. $$ GMZ056-060930- N Central Gulf Offshore Waters- 524 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft in NE to E swell. .THU...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E swell. $$ GMZ057-060930- NE Gulf N of 26N E of 87W- 524 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE to E winds 25 to 30 kt W of 85W, and E 15 to 20 kt E of 85W. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .THU...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE swell. $$ GMZ058-060930- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N W of 94W- 524 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt W of 96W, and NE 30 to 40 kt E of 96W. Seas 4 to 6 W of 96W, and 10 to 15 ft E of 96W. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. N winds 20 to 25 kt W of 96W, and N to NE 45 to 50 kt E of 96W. Seas 6 to 9 ft W of 96W, and 11 to 19 ft E of 96W. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W of 96W, N winds 20 to 25 kt. E of 96W, N to NE winds 30 to 35 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt late. Seas 7 to 10 ft in N to NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE to E swell. .TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE to E swell. .WED...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE to E swell. .WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E swell. .THU...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE to E swell. $$ GMZ045-060930- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 91W and 94W- 524 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE to S winds 25 to 30 kt S of 24N, and NE to E 15 to 20 kt N of 24N. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, S winds 35 to 40 kt, increasing to 50 to 55 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 to 19 ft S of 24N, building to 18 to 24 ft in the afternoon, and 7 to 11 ft N of 24N. Numerous squalls and thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SE winds 50 to 65 kt S of 24N, and NE to E 20 to 25 kt N of 24N. Seas 20 to 28 ft. N of 24N, NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .MON...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NW to N winds 60 to 75 kt S of 24N, and NE 30 to 40 kt N of 24N. Seas 27 to 33 ft. N of 24N, 10 to 16 ft. Numerous squalls and thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N winds 40 to 45 kt, diminishing to 25 to 30 kt late. Seas 10 to 16 ft in N to NE swell. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. .TUE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft in NE to E swell. .WED...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in NE to E swell. .WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E swell. .THU...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E swell. $$ GMZ046-060930- Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 87W and 91W- 524 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 24N, SW to W winds 15 to 20 kt, shifting to SE to S 20 to 25 kt late. N of 24N, N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, SE to S winds 35 to 40 kt, increasing to 65 to 75 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 to 16 ft, building to 24 to 28 ft in the afternoon. N of 24N, NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming E 35 to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 8 ft in SW to W swell, building to 10 to 16 ft in SW to W swell in the afternoon. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 24N, S to SW winds 70 to 85 kt. N of 24N, NE to E winds 45 to 50 kt, increasing to 65 to 85 kt late. Seas 13 to 20 ft in NW swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Vsby 1 NM or less. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft in NE swell. .THU...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE swell. $$ GMZ047-060930- SE Gulf from 22N to 26N E of 87W including Straits of Florida- 524 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S to SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming S 25 to 30 kt late. Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 6 to 8 ft late. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .THU...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in N swell. $$ GMZ048-060930- SW Gulf S of 22N W of 94W- 524 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 .TONIGHT...W to NW winds 20 to 25 kt S of 21N W of 95W, and W to NW 25 to 30 kt elsewhere. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NW to N swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NW winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NW to N swell. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .MON...NW winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NW to N swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE swell. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in NE swell. .WED...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE swell. .WED NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell. .THU...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. $$ GMZ049-060930- Central Bay of Campeche- 524 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TONIGHT...SW to W winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SW to W winds 15 to 20 kt S of 20N, and SW 25 to 30 kt N of 20N. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 20N, W winds 20 to 25 kt. N of 20N, SW to W winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming W 35 to 40 kt late. Seas 7 to 10 ft in W to NW swell. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W winds 20 to 25 kt S of 20N, and W to NW 30 to 35 kt N of 20N. Seas 8 to 12 ft in NW swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in NW swell. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .TUE...NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N swell. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in N to NE swell. .WED...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE swell. .WED NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N to NE swell. .THU...N winds 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N to NE swell. $$ GMZ050-060930- E Bay of Campeche including Campeche Bank- 524 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TONIGHT...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W of 90W, SW to W winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming SW 30 to 35 kt late. E of 90W, SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to S late. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered thunderstorms. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SW to W winds 30 to 40 kt W of 90W, and S 25 to 30 kt E of 90W. Seas 8 to 12 ft in W to NW swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in NW swell. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .TUE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N swell. .WED...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N swell. .WED NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in N swell. .THU...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in N to NE swell. $$ Forecaster Aguirre