000 FZNT24 KNHC 051542 OFFNT4 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1142 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. GMZ001-060345- Synopsis for the Gulf of Mexico 1142 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Newly formed Tropical Depression Fourteen is over the southwestern Gulf near 22.1N 95.1W, or about 180 nm NNE of Veracruz, Mexico at 11 AM EDT moving north-northeast at 3 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Tropical Depression Fourteen is forecast to strengthen to a tropical storm near 22.5N 94.9W this evening with maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt, and continue to strengthen as it reaches near 22.9N 94.2W Sun morning with maximum sustained 45 kt gusts 55 kt, to near 22.8N 93.0W Sun evening with maximum sustained winds 55 kt gusts 65 kt and intensify into a hurricane near 22.9N 91.6W Mon morning with maximum sustained winds 70 kt gusts 85 kt. Hurricane Fourteen is forecast to reach near 23.4N 89.8W Mon evening with maximum sustained winds 85 kt gusts 105 kt and to near 24.3N 87.6W Tue morning with maximum sustained winds 95 kt gusts 115 kt. Hurricane Fourteen is forecast to change little in intensity as it moves to the near 27.0N 83.4W early Wed, then begin to weaken as it crosses the Florida peninsula reaching to waters E of northern Florida near 29.9N 78.3W early on Thu. A front is expected to develop across the northern Gulf through the weekend, with increasing winds and building seas N and W of the boundary. Conditions may finally improve across the basin toward the end of the week. $$ GMZ040-060345- NW Gulf including Stetson Bank- 1142 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 .TODAY...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...N to NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell. .TUE...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell. .TUE NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell. .WED...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell. $$ GMZ041-060345- SW Louisiana Offshore Waters including Flower Garden Bank Marine Sanctuary- 1142 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 .TODAY...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE...N to NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E swell. .TUE NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E swell. .WED...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell. $$ GMZ056-060345- N Central Gulf Offshore Waters- 1142 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 .TODAY...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. $$ GMZ057-060345- NE Gulf N of 26N E of 87W- 1142 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 .TODAY...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. $$ GMZ058-060345- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N W of 94W- 1142 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt W of 96W, and NE to E 25 to 30 kt E of 96W. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt W of 96W, and NE 30 to 40 kt E of 96W. Seas 4 to 6 W of 96W, and 10 to 15 ft E of 96W. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. N winds 20 to 25 kt W of 96W, and N to NE 35 to 45 kt E of 96W. Seas 6 to 8 ft W of 96W, and 11 to 19 ft E of 96W. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N to NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E swell. .TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E swell. .WED...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E swell. $$ GMZ045-060345- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 91W and 94W- 1142 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TODAY...SE to S winds 25 to 30 kt S of 24N, and E 10 to 15 kt N of 24N. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 24N, S winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming SE to S 30 to 35 kt late. Seas 6 to 8 ft, building to 10 to 14 f t late. N of of 2N, NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S winds 40 to 50 kt S of 24N, and NE to E 20 to 25 kt N of 24N. Seas 12 to 19 ft S of 24N, and 7 to 11 ft N of 24N. Numerous squalls and thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, E to SE winds 50 to 55 kt, becoming NE 50 to 60 kt late. Seas 20 to 26 ft. N of 24N, NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .MON...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 24N, N winds 60 to 75 kt. Seas 27 to 32 ft. N of 24N, NE winds 25 to 30 kt, increasing to 35 to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 to 12 ft, building to 10 to 16 ft. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .TUE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft in NE to E swell. .WED...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in NE to E swell. $$ GMZ046-060345- Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 87W and 91W- 1142 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 24N, W winds 15 to 20 kt, shifting to SE to S 20 to 25 kt late. N of 24N, N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 24N, SE to S winds 35 to 40 kt, becoming S 65 to 75 kt in the afternoon. N of 24N, NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming E 35 to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in SW to W swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Scattered thunderstorms. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. $$ GMZ047-060345- SE Gulf from 22N to 26N E of 87W including Straits of Florida- 1142 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 .TODAY...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered thunderstorms. .SUN...S to SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. $$ GMZ048-060345- SW Gulf S of 22N W of 94W- 1142 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 .TODAY...SW to W winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 21N W of 95W, W to NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Elsewhere, W to NW winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered thunderstorms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NW winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NW to N swell. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .MON...NW winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NW to N swell. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE...NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE swell. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in NE swell. .WED...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE swell. $$ GMZ049-060345- Central Bay of Campeche- 1142 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...W to NW winds 15 to 20 kt S of 20N, and SW 25 to 30 kt N of 20N. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming SW 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SW to W winds 15 to 20 kt S of 20N, and SW 25 to 30 kt N of 20N. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 20N, W winds 20 to 25 kt. N of 20N, SW to W winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming W 35 to 40 kt late. Seas 6 to 8 ft in W to NW swell. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 20N, W winds 20 to 25 kt. N of 20N, W to NW winds 35 to 40 kt, diminishing to 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NW swell. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .TUE...NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N swell. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in N to NE swell. .WED...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N to NE swell. $$ GMZ050-060345- E Bay of Campeche including Campeche Bank- 1142 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TODAY...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .TONIGHT...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W of 90W, SW winds 25 to 30 kt. E of 90W, W winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to S late. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .MON...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SW to W winds 30 to 40 kt W of 90W, and S 25 to 30 kt E of 90W. Seas 6 to 9 ft in W to NW swell. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. .TUE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in NW to N swell. .WED...NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in N swell. $$ Forecaster Aguirre