000 FZNT24 KNHC 090301 OFFNT4 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1101 PM EDT Mon Oct 8 2018 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. GMZ001-091515- Synopsis for the Gulf of Mexico 1101 PM EDT Mon Oct 8 2018 .SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Michael near 23.2N 85.3W 970 mb at 11 PM EDT moving N at 10 kt. Maximum sustained winds 80 kt gusts 100 kt. Michael will move to 24.7N 85.9W Tue morning, 26.8N 86.3W Tue evening, 29.1N 85.9W Wed morning, move inland and weaken to a tropical storm near 31.4N 84.4W Wed evening, and inland to 35.9N 77.3W Thu evening. Michael will become extratropical as it moves to 41.5N 63.8W late Fri, and continue to 47.8N 46.0W Sat. Conditions should improve by the end of the week as Michael speeds off to the N and NE of the area, potentially dragging a cold front or frontal trough down S of 31N in its wake. $$ GMZ011-091515- NW Gulf including Stetson Bank- 1101 PM EDT Mon Oct 8 2018 .OVERNIGHT...E to SE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E to SE swell. .WED...W to NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E swell. .WED NIGHT...N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E swell. .THU...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .FRI...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SAT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ GMZ013-091515- N Central Gulf including Flower Garden Banks Marine Sanctuary- 1101 PM EDT Mon Oct 8 2018 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .OVERNIGHT... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 15 to 20 kt W of 90W, and E 25 to 30 kt elsewhere. Seas 9 to 13 ft in E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W of 90W, NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Elsewhere, E winds 30 to 35 kt, becoming NE to E 40 to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 to 19 ft in E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE NIGHT... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt W of 90W, and N 45 to 55 kt elsewhere. Seas 15 to 23 ft in E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. W of 90W, NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Elsewhere, W to NW winds 40 to 45 kt, becoming W 30 to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 to 22 ft in E swell, subsiding to 9 to 14 ft in NE to E swell in the afternoon. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED NIGHT...W of 90W, NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Elsewhere, W winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt late. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E swell. .THU...NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .THU NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SAT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ GMZ015-091515- NE Gulf N of 25N E of 87W- 1101 PM EDT Mon Oct 8 2018 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .OVERNIGHT... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. E to SE winds 30 to 40 kt S of 27N, and E 25 to 30 kt elsewhere. Seas 10 to 16 ft in NE swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE... HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 27N, E to SE winds 65 to 80 kt. Elsewhere, E to SE winds 25 to 30 kt, increasing to 35 to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 to 24 ft in N to NE swell, building to 21 to 31 ft in N to NE swell in the afternoon. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE NIGHT... HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 27N, S winds 75 to 85 kt, becoming S to SW 55 to 65 kt late. Elsewhere, E to SE winds 65 to 85 kt. Seas 22 to 33 ft in N swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. VSBY 1 NM or less. .WED... HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 27N, S to SW winds 25 to 30 kt. Elsewhere, SW winds 65 to 85 kt, diminishing to 40 to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22 to 33 ft in NW to N swell, subsiding to 17 to 26 ft in W to NW swell in the afternoon. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. VSBY 1 NM or less. .WED NIGHT...SW winds 20 to 25 kt S of 27N, and SW to W 25 to 30 kt elsewhere. Seas 10 to 16 ft in W to NW swell, subsiding to 7 to 10 ft in W to NW swell late. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .THU...SW to W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .FRI...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SAT...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ GMZ017-091515- W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N W of 94W- 1101 PM EDT Mon Oct 8 2018 .OVERNIGHT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell. .WED...SE to S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E swell. .WED NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE to E swell. .THU...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft in NE to E swell. .THU NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .FRI...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SAT...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ GMZ019-091515- Central Gulf from 22N to 26N between 87W and 94W- 1101 PM EDT Mon Oct 8 2018 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .OVERNIGHT... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. NE winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft in E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S of 24N, W to NW winds 35 to 40 kt, becoming SW to W 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Elsewhere, NE winds 35 to 40 kt, shifting to NW to N 40 to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 to 18 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .TUE NIGHT... HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S of 24N, SW to W winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming SW 15 to 20 kt late. Elsewhere, NW winds 40 to 45 kt, becoming W 25 to 30 kt late. Seas 10 to 15 ft in NE to E swell. .WED...SW winds 10 to 15 kt S of 24N, and W 20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED NIGHT...NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .THU...N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft in NE swell. .THU NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SAT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ GMZ021-091515- E Gulf from 22N to 25N E of 87W including Straits of Florida- 1101 PM EDT Mon Oct 8 2018 ...HURRICANE WARNING... .OVERNIGHT... HURRICANE CONDITIONS. E to SE winds 65 to 75 kt. Seas 17 to 26 ft in NE to E swell. Numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms. VSBY 1 NM or less. .TUE... HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. Straits of Florida, S winds 35 to 40 kt, diminishing to 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Elsewhere, S to SW winds 65 to 75 kt. Seas 19 to 29 ft in SW to W swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. VSBY 1 NM or less. .TUE NIGHT... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt Straits of Florida, and S 30 to 35 kt elsewhere. Seas 12 to 19 ft, subsiding to 8 to 12 ft late. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED...S winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .WED NIGHT...S to SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. .THU...S to SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...W to NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI...SW to W winds 5 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .FRI NIGHT...NW to N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SAT...NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ GMZ023-091515- SW Gulf S of 22N W of 94W- 1101 PM EDT Mon Oct 8 2018 .OVERNIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE...SE to S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .WED NIGHT...E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NE swell. .THU...SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft in NE swell. .THU NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .FRI...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .FRI NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SAT...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ GMZ025-091515- E Bay of Campeche including Campeche Bank- 1101 PM EDT Mon Oct 8 2018 .OVERNIGHT...NW to N winds 5 kt within 60 nm of coast of Campeche, and N 20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 3 to 5 ft in NE swell. .TUE...SW to W winds 5 kt within 60 nm of coast of Campeche, and SW 15 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 3 to 5 ft in NE swell. .TUE NIGHT...SW winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to SE to S late. Seas 3 to 5 ft in NE swell. .WED...SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft in N to NE swell. .THU...NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .FRI...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. .SAT...NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. $$ Forecaster Ramos