000 FZNT24 KNHC 170315 OFFNT4 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 PM CDT SAT AUG 16 2008 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. GMZ089-170930- SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO 1030 PM CDT SAT AUG 16 2008 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM FAY JUST SE OF THE EASTERN COAST OF CUBA NEAR 19.4N 76.3W AT 10 PM CDT IS MOVING W 12 KT. FAY WILL BEGIN TO TRACK NW OVERNIGHT AND BE NEAR 20.0N 78.0W SUN MORNING ...TO JUST S OF THE COAST OF CUBA NEAR 21.5N 80.0W EARLY SUN NIGHT...AND MOVE INLAND CUBA LATER ON SUN NIGHT TO ALONG THE N COAST OF CUBA NEAR 23.1N 81.4W BY MON MORNING. FAY WILL THEN EMERGE INTO THE LOWER STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND BEGIN TO STRENGTH REACHING TO NEAR 24.5N 82.0W BY MON NIGHT...AND TO NEAR THE FL W COAST AS A HURRICANE TUE...TO JUST INLAND NEAR 27.8N 82.5W BY TUE NIGHT. FAY IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BACK TO A TROPICAL STORM AS AS IT TRACKS INLAND OVER N CENTRAL FL WED AND OVER SE GEORGIA LATE WED NIGHT AND THU. ELSEWHERE HIGH PRES OVER THE SE WATERS WILL SHIFT TO THE CENTRAL GULF SUN AND TO THE NW GULF MON THROUGH THU. A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE N GULF COAST SUN AND DISSIPATE MON NIGHT AND TUE. $$ GMZ080-170930- NW GULF N OF 25N W OF 90W INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANKS NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY 1030 PM CDT SAT AUG 16 2008 .TONIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...S OF 28N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING S TO SW SUN. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. N OF 28N VARIABLE MOSTLY W TO NW WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS N OF 28N. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W OF 94W E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. E OF 94W VARIABLE MOSTLY W TO NW WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING NE TO E. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS N OF 29N. .TUE AND WED...S OF 28N W OF 93W E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT... INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT WED. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT...BUILDING TO 3 TO 4 FT WED. ELSEWHERE VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. .THU...N OF 28N SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. S OF 28N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. $$ GMZ082-170930- SW GULF S OF 25N W OF 90W 1030 PM CDT SAT AUG 16 2008 .TONIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT NE TO E 15 TO 20 KT NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...EXCEPT 1 TO 3 FT S OF 20N. .MON THROUGH WED...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT NE TO E NEAR YUCATAN. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...EXCEPT 2 TO 3 FT S OF 20N. .THU...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KT E OF 94W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...EXCEPT 4 TO 6 FT E OF 94W. $$ GMZ084-170930- MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W 1030 PM CDT SAT AUG 16 2008 .TONIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...S OF 24N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. FROM 24N TO 27N VARIABLE MOSTLY S TO SW WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING VARIABLE SUN. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. N OF 27N SW TO W WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING VARIABLE LATE SUN. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS N OF 28N. .MON AND MON NIGHT...S OF 25N N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 KT E OF 87W. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT...EXCEPT BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT E OF 87W. N OF 25N W TO NW WINDS 10 KT OR LESS EXCEPT NE TO E NEAR GULF COAST BECOMING NW TO N LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS EXCEPT 2 TO 3 FT S OF 28N E OF 87W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SQUALLS SE PART. .TUE...S OF 24N W OF 87W E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 24N W TO NW WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING SE TO S. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. FROM 24N TO 28N NW TO N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT...EXCEPT 3 TO 4 FT E OF 87W. N OF 28N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SQUALLS E PART. .WED...S OF 25N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. N OF 25N W TO NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SW TO W. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SQUALLS FAR NE PART EARLY. .THU...N OF 27N SW TO W WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. S OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 5 TO 10 KT N OF 25N. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT...EXCEPT 1 TO 2 FT N OF 25N. $$ GMZ086-170930- E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W 1030 PM CDT SAT AUG 16 2008 ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED MON THROUGH EARLY WED.... .TONIGHT...S OF 24N NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. FROM 24N TO 26N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. N OF 26N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 28N AND STRAITS OF FLORIDA. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S OF 26N NE WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT. N OF 26N W TO NW WINDS 10 KT BECOMING NE TO E SUN NIGHT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 2 TO 3 FT S OF 27N LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS STRAITS OF FLORIDA BECOMING NUMEROUS. SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 28N. .MON AND MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT OF FAY. HIGHEST WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS 23 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT N OF 24N AND W OF 87W AND 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT AREA WIDE. N OF 25N VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 27N BECOMING NE TO E 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 20 TO 25 KT S OF 28N. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS N OF 28N BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT AND 3 TO 5 FT S OF 28N BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS S HALF SPREADING N. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 25N. ELSEWHERE S OF 25N SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT LATE. .WED...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 28N EARLY...THEN DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 33 KT...AND TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT LATE. ELSEWHERE SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING NE TO E STRAITS OF FL. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT N OF 25N...AND SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 2 FT ENTIRE AREA LATE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS N PART EARLY. .THU...N OF 27N W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT... HIGHEST N. FROM 25N TO 27N VARIABLE MOSTLY SW TO W WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. S OF 25N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/AGUIRRE