000 FZNT23 KNHC 172122 OFFNT3 ATLC/CARIBBEAN OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SW AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...THE SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS...AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA. SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-180330- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 .SYNOPSIS...BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO ENCOMPASS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND ADJACENT GULF OF MEXICO AND W CARIBBEAN...WITH A SMALL 1003 MB LOW PRES SYSTEM JUST OFF THE N COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THE BROAD CIRCULATION WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY STATIONARY TONIGHT AND THEN GRADUALLY BECOME MORE ELONGATED N TO S AND BEGIN TO LIFT N-NE TUE THROUGH WED. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN AND YUCATAN CHANNEL THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL WAVE S OF 17N ALONG 65W WILL DAMPEN OUT OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BY MID WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN WED EVENING...REACHING FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO E HONDURAS BY LATE THU WHERE IT WILL STALL. $$ AMZ082-180330- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 .TONIGHT....W OF 80W S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT N OF 20N SE TO S 20 TO 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT... EXCEPT 7 TO 8 FT N OF 20N W OF 83W. E OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SQUALLS AND TSTMS N OF 20N W OF 83W. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT BEHIND FRONT BECOMING W TO NW 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. E OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO S TO SW LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG AND E OF FRONT. .WED AND WED NIGHT...NW OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT HIGHER GUSTS YUCATAN CHANNEL. SEAS BUILDING 6 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL...EXCEPT 8 TO 11 FT YUCATAN CHANNEL. SE OF FRONT W TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .THU...W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING N TO NE WINDS LATE. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. E OF FRONT VARIABLE MAINLY E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG FRONT. .FRI AND SAT...NW OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 KT EXCEPT W TO NW 20 TO 25 KT GULF OF HONDURAS...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT W OF FRONT SAT NIGHT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN N SWELL. SE OF FRONT NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. $$ AMZ084-180330- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 .TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...N OF 11N W OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF 12N W OF 82W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 11N E OF 80W VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 11N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT TUE. .WED AND WED NIGHT...N OF 12N W OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING SW TO W 5 TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. .THU...VARIABLE MAINLY W TO NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT E OF 82W...AND BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT IN NW SWELL W OF 82W. .FRI AND SAT...S OF 13N WINDS BECOMING SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. N OF 13N NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ086-180330- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 530 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 .TONIGHT...E OF 70W E WINDS 15 KT EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KT S OF 13N. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT EXCEPT 5 TO 7 FT S OF 13N. W OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS E OF 70W. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT 5 TO 10 KT W OF 70W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT..EXCEPT S OF 14N NE TO E 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. W OF 70W VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT IN E SWELL. .THU...E OF 70W N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. W OF 70W NW TO NE WINDS 5 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. .FRI...N OF 14N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. S OF 14N NW TO N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. .SAT...N OF 14N VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 14N W TO NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ087-180330- TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 .TONIGHT...N OF 15N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN NE SWELL. S OF 15N NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 7 FT IN NE SWELL. .TUE THROUGH TUE NIGHT...FROM 11N TO 16N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS S OF 15N. .WED AND WED NIGHT...N OF 15N NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN NE SWELL. S OF 15N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT IN NE SWELL. .THU AND FRI...N OF 11N NE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING E TO SE 10 TO 15 KT BEHIND WAVE FRI. SEAS 5 FT IN NE SWELL. S OF 11N NW TO N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING VARIABLE FRI. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT IN NE SWELL. .SAT...SE TO S WINDS 10 KT EXCEPT 10 TO 15 KT N OF 17N SEAS 4 TO 5 FT IN NE SWELL. $$ AMZ088-180330- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 .SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES OVER GEORGIA WILL SHIFT E ALONG 30N THROUGH TUE. BROAD LOW PRES IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL SHIFT N-NE TUE AND WED AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST WED EVENING. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM NEAR 31N78W TO 24N80W BY WED EVENING...FROM 31N74W TO CENTRAL CUBA BY EARLY THU...THEN WEAKEN AND BECOME STATIONARY FROM NEAR 31N70W TO CENTRAL CUBA FRI. $$ AMZ080-180330- SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 ...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TUE NIGHT AND WED N OF 28N BETWEEN COLD FRONT AND 74W... .TONIGHT...N OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N W OF 75W SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N E OF 75W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 30N W OF 71W. SCATTERED SHOWERS S OF 27N W OF 71W. .TUE...N OF 28N W OF 75W SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT BECOMING S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT EXCEPT 2 TO 3 FT IN LEE OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 28N W OF 75W. .TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...N OF 28N W OF 74W S TO SW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT BECOMING W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. S OF 25N SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG FRONT. .THU...W OF FRONT W TO NW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. N OF 27N E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .FRI AND SAT...WITHIN 120 NM NW OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE NW OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT 15 TO 20 KT S OF 27N. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT TO 6 FT S OF 265N. N OF 28N E OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE E OF FRONT NE WINDS 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT SAT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN NE SWELL. $$ FORECASTER STRIPLING