000 FZNT23 KNHC 170849 OFFNT3 ATLC/CARIBBEAN OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SW AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...THE SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS...AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA. SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-171530- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 .SYNOPSIS...A 1003 MB LOW PRES SYSTEM JUST NE OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD THROUGH TUE MORNING. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND YUCATAN CHANNEL THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL WAVE S OF 17N ALONG 63W IS MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT. THE WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN THROUGH TUE WHILE WEAKENING. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN WED REACHING FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO E HONDURAS BY LATE THU WHERE IT WILL STALL. $$ AMZ082-171530- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 530 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 .TODAY AND TONIGHT....W OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT N OF 21N W OF 83W SE TO S 20 TO 30 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT EARLY TONIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT...EXCEPT N OF 21N W OF 83W 8 TO 11 FT...SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 8 FT TONIGHT. E OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND TSTMS N OF 21N W OF 81W. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT BEHIND FRONT BECOMING W TO NW 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. E OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO S TO SW LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG AND E OF FRONT. .WED...NW OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT... EXCEPT HIGHER GUSTS YUCATAN CHANNEL. SEAS BUILDING 6 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL...EXCEPT 8 TO 11 FT YUCATAN CHANNEL. SE OF FRONT W TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .THU...W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING N TO NE WINDS LATE. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. E OF FRONT VARIABLE MAINLY E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG FRONT. .FRI...BEHIND FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT W TO NW GULF OF HONDURAS. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. $$ AMZ084-171530- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 530 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 .TODAY THROUGH TUE NIGHT...N OF 11N W OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. N OF 11N E OF 80W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 11N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S 10 TO 15 KT TUE. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT TUE. .WED...N OF 12N W OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING SW TO W 5 TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. .THU...VARIABLE MAINLY W TO NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT E OF 82W...AND BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT IN NW SWELL W OF 82W. .FRI...S OF 13N WINDS BECOMING SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. N OF 13N E OF 82W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. N OF 13N W OF 82W W TO NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT IN NW SWELL. $$ AMZ086-171530- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 530 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 .TODAY AND TONIGHT...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS E OF 72W. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT 5 TO 10 KT W OF 70W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .WED...E OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT..EXCEPT S OF 14N NE TO E 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. W OF 70W VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT IN E SWELL. .THU...E OF 70W N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. W OF 70W NW TO NE WINDS 5 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. .FRI...N OF 14N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. S OF 14N NW TO N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ087-171530- TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 .TODAY THROUGH TUE NIGHT...FROM 11N TO 16N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS S OF 15N. .WED...N OF 15N NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN NE SWELL. S OF 15N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT IN NE SWELL. .THU AND FRI...N OF 11N NE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING E TO SE 10 TO 15 KT BEHIND WAVE FRI. SEAS 5 FT IN NE SWELL. S OF 11N NW TO N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING VARIABLE FRI. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT IN NE SWELL. $$ AMZ088-171530- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 530 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 .SYNOPSIS...A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT FROM JUST SE OF BERMUDA SW TO THE NW BAHAMAS AND TO WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH TUE MORNING AS A HIGH PRES RIDGE BUILDS ALONG 31N. THE RIDGE WILL SHIFT NE AND WEAKEN TUE IN RESPONSE TO A COLD FRONT THAT MOVES OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST EARLY WED. LOW PRES IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL TRACK NE AS A POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE ACROSS NE FLORIDA...AND POSSIBLY OVER THE FAR NW WATERS TUE NIGHT. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM NEAR 31N76W TO S FLORIDA BY WED EVENING...FROM 31N74W TO CENTRAL CUBA BY EARLY THU...THEN WEAKEN AND BECOME STATIONARY FROM NEAR 31N70W TO CENTRAL CUBA FRI. $$ AMZ080-171530- SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 530 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011 ...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TUE NIGHT AND WED N OF 28N E OF FRONT... .TODAY AND TONIGHT...N OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT N OF 29N E TO SE 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...EXCEPT N OF 30N 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 27N W OF 75W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING SE 15 KT MON NIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT MON NIGHT. S OF 27N E OF 75W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. AREAS OF RAIN WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 30N W OF 71W. SCATTERED SHOWERS S OF 27N E OF 71W. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT N OF 26N AHEAD OF FRONT BECOMING S TO SW 20 TO 30 KT AND INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 KT N OF 28N W OF 75W...THEN BECOMING W TO NW 20 TO 25 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT NE OF BAHAMAS... EXCEPT N OF 28N BUILDING TO 7 TO 11 FT TUE NIGHT...SEAS 2 TO 4 FT SW OF BAHAMAS. E OF 70W SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING SE TO S 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .WED AND THU...BEHIND FRONT W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT... DIMINISHING TO NW 15 TO 20 KT LATE WED...AND TO N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT LATE THU. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT NE OF BAHAMAS...SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT THU...AND 2 TO 4 FT SW OF BAHAMAS...EXCEPT TO 8 FT EXPOSED AREAS. N OF 28N E OF FRONT S WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N E OF FRONT TO 72W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT THU. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT... SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT THU. N OF 26N E OF 72W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT THU. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN SE SWELL...BUILDING 5 TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. S OF 26N E OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE WED...THEN SHIFTING TO NE TO E THU. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .FRI...N OF 28N BEHIND FRONT N TO NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. S OF 28N BEHIND FRONT N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT S OF 26N N TO NE 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT...HIGHEST FAR SW PART. N OF 25N E OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. S OF 25N E OF FRONT NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. $$ FORECASTER AGUIRRE