000 FZNT23 KNHC 162129 OFFNT3 ATLC/CARIBBEAN OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SW AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...THE SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS...AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA. SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-170330- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 .SYNOPSIS...A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND ADJACENT GULF OF MEXICO AND W CARIBBEAN...WITH LOW PRES CENTER NEAR 21N86W WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NW THROUGH TUE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND YUCATAN CHANNEL THROUGH TUE. A TROPICAL WAVE S OF 17N ALONG 59/60W THIS EVENING MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT WILL ENTER THE FAR E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT...MOVING ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN THROUGH TUE WHILE WEAKENING. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN WED REACHING FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO E HONDURAS BY LATE THU WHERE IT WILL STALL. $$ AMZ082-170330- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 .TONIGHT...N OF 18N S TO SE WINDS 20 KT EXCEPT 20 TO 25 KT YUCATAN CHANNEL EARLY. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT EXCEPT TO 9 FT YUCATAN CHANNEL. S OF 18N W OF 80W SW TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT BECOMING SE TO S WINDS LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 18N E OF 80W SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING S TO SE LATE. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...EXCEPT TO 8 FT NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL. E OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS NW PORTION TONIGHT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING W TO NW 15 TO 20 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. E OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO S TO SW LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .WED...NW OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL. SEAS BUILDING 6 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL ...EXCEPT UP TO 11 FT YUCATAN CHANNEL. SE OF FRONT W TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .THU...W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 KT...LOCALLY TO 25 KT BECOMING N TO NE WINDS LATE. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. E OF FRONT VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG FRONT. .FRI...W OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT W TO NW WINDS GULF OF HONDURAS. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT EXCEPT TO 10 FT GULF OF HONDURAS. $$ AMZ084-170330- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 530 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 .TONIGHT...N OF 12N W OF 82W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 12N E OF 82W VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT IN E SWELL. S OF 12N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT IN NE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .MON THROUGH TUE NIGHT...N OF 11N W OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. N OF 11N E OF 80W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 11N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S 10 TO 15 KT TUE. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT...BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT TUE. .WED...N OF 12N W OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING SW TO W 5 TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. .THU...VARIABLE MAINLY W TO NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 3 FT. .FRI...S OF 13N SW TO W WINDS 5 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. N OF 13N N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT IN NW SWELL. $$ AMZ086-170330- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 530 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 .TONIGHT...E OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 15 KT EXCEPT NE NEAR 20 KT S OF 15N E OF 65W AHEAD OF WAVE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. W OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. WIND AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS NEAR WAVE. .MON AND MON NIGHT...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS E OF 66W. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT 5 TO 10 KT W OF 70W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .WED...E OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING N TO NE 10 KT S OF 15N W OF 64W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. W OF 70W VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT IN E SWELL. .THU...E OF 70W N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. W OF 70W NW TO NE WINDS 5 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. .FRI...N OF 14N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. S OF 14N NW TO N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ087-170330- TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 .TONIGHT...N OF 16N NE TO E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. FROM 11N TO 16N E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. S OF 11N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN NE SWELL. WIND AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 15N. .MON THROUGH TUE NIGHT...FROM 11N TO 16N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS ENTIRE AREA. SCATTERED TSTMS S OF 15N MON. .WED...N OF 15N NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN NE SWELL. S OF 15N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT IN NE SWELL. .THU AND FRI...N OF 11N NE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING E TO SE 10 TO 15 KT BEHIND WAVE FRI. SEAS 5 FT IN NE SWELL. S OF 11N NW TO N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WINDS FRI. SEAS 4 FT. $$ AMZ088-170330- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 .SYNOPSIS...A STATIONARY FRONT FROM NEAR BERMUDA SW TO THE NW BAHAMAS ALONG 25N THEN W ACROSS EXTREME S FLORIDA WILL DRIFT N W OF 75W...WHILE GRADUALLY DISSIPATING THROUGH MON AS HIGH PRES BUILDS ALONG 31N. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT NE AND WEAKEN TUE IN RESPONSE TO A COLD FRONT THAT MOVES OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST WED. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM NEAR 31N76W TO S FLORIDA WED EVENING...THEN WILL WEAKEN AS IT EXTENDS FROM NEAR 31N70W TO CENTRAL CUBA THROUGH FRI. $$ AMZ080-170330- SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 530 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 .TONIGHT...N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT SE OF FRONT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N W OF 75W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN EXPOSED AREAS...AND 3 TO 5 FT ELSEWHERE. S OF 27N E OF 75W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT E TO SE WINDS SE OF FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR SCATTERED SHOWERS TSTMS S OF 27N W OF 75W. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT 5 TO 10 KT N OF 30N MON. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N W OF 75W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING SE 15 KT MON NIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT MON NIGHT. S OF 27N E OF 75W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 26N W OF 72W. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING S TO SW 20 TO 30 KT N OF 26N AHEAD OF FRONT...THEN BECOMING TO W TO NW 20 TO 25 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT NE OF BAHAMAS BUILDING TO 6 TO 10 FT EXCEPT BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT N OF 27N LATE...AND 2 TO 4 FT SW OF BAHAMAS THROUGHOUT. E OF 70W SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING SE TO S 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .WED AND THU...W OF FRONT W TO NW WINDS 20 KT GRADUALLY BECOMING NW 15 TO 20 KT LATE WED...BECOMING N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT LATE THU. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT NE OF BAHAMAS SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT THU... AND 2 TO 4 FT SW OF BAHAMAS EXCEPT TO 8 FT EXPOSED AREAS. N OF 26N E OF FRONT TO 72W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT THU. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT EXCEPT TO 13 FT WITHIN 180 NM E OF FRONT...SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT THROUGHOUT THU. N OF 26N E OF 72W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT THU. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN SE SWELL BUILDING 5 TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. S OF 26N E OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE WED...THEN SHIFTING TO NE TO E THU. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .FRI...NW OF FRONT N OF 28N NE TO N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT IN NW SWELL. NW OF FRONT S OF 28N N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT EXCEPT 20 TO 25 KT WITHIN 90 NM OF FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN NW SWELL EXCEPT TO 8 FT WITHIN 90 NM OF FRONT. N OF 25N E OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 7 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL. S OF 25N E OF FRONT NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. $$ FORECASTER STRIPLING