000 FZNT23 KNHC 160902 OFFNT3 ATLC/CARIBBEAN OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SW AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...THE SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS...AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA. SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-161530- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 .SYNOPSIS...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRES WITH ITS CENTER OVER THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL DRIFTING NW THROUGH TUE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND YUCATAN CHANNEL THROUGH TUE. A TROPICAL WAVE S OF 17N ALONG 57W IS MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT. THE WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE ENTERING THE FAR EASTERN CARIBBEAN TONIGHT. IT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REST OF THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN MON THROUGH TUE AS IT WEAKENS. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN WED...AND REACH FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO GULF OF HONDURAS BY LATE THU. $$ AMZ082-161530- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 530 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 .TODAY...N OF 17N W OF 82W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...EXCEPT 8 TO 11 FT YUCATAN CHANNEL. ELSEWHERE SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT W OF 82W S TO SW. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 81W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS E OF 81W. .TONIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT...EXCEPT TO 8 FT NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS NW PORTION SUN AND SUN NIGHT. .TUE...SE TO S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT...EXCEPT E OF 82W 2 TO 4 FT. .WED...SE OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING SE TO S 5 TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. NW OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT 20 TO 25 KT YUCATAN CHANNEL. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT EXCEPT TO 9 FT NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG FRONT. .THU...NW OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN N SWELL. SE OF FRONT N OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SE OF FRONT S OF 18N W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT 20 TO 25 KT GULF OF HONDURAS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT...EXCEPT 5 TO 8 FT GULF OF HONDURAS. $$ AMZ084-161530- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 530 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 .TODAY AND TONIGHT...N OF 12N W OF 80W SW TO W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT BECOMING S TO SW 10 TO 15 KT SUN NIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT SUN NIGHT. N OF 12N E OF 80W VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT SUN. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT IN E SWELL. S OF 12N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 78W THROUGH SUN. .MON THROUGH TUE...S OF 12N SW TO W WINDS 5 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. N OF 12N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING SE TO S 10 TO 15 KT TUE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .WED...S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...EXCEPT W OF 77W BECOMING NW TO N 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. $$ AMZ086-161530- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 530 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 .TODAY AND TONIGHT...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS N OF 15N...AND ALSO S OF 14N E OF 63W. .MON AND MON NIGHT...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT .TUE...E OF 70W E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. W OF 70W E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT IN E SWELL. .WED...E OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. W OF 70W VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. .THU...E OF 72W NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO N TO NE LATE. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. W OF 72W E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...SHIFTING TO N TO NE LATE. SEAS 2 FT. $$ AMZ087-161530- TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 530 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 .TODAY THROUGH TUE...FROM 11N TO 15N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT E TO SE WITHIN 90 NM E OF WAVE TODAY. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 17N E OF 56W MON THROUGH TUE. .WED...N OF 19N NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. FROM 12N TO 19N NE TO E WIND 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. S OF 12N NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT IN N SWELL. .THU...N OF 12N NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 12N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING VARIABLE 5 TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT IN MIXED N AND NE SWELL. $$ AMZ088-161530- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 530 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 .SYNOPSIS...A STATIONARY FRONT FROM JUST E OF BERMUDA TO THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS AND TO S FLORIDA BEGIN TO LIFT NORTHWARD TODAY TO N OF THE AREA TUE MORNING AS HIGH PRES BUILDS ALONG 31N. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT NE AND WEAKEN LATER TUE THROUGH WED IN RESPONSE TO A COLD FRONT THAT MOVES OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST EARLY WED. INCREASING SLY WINDS WILL PRECEDE THE FRONT WITH FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM NEAR 31N75W TO S FLORIDA BY LATE WED...THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES FROM NEAR 31N70W TO WESTERN CUBA BY LATE THU. $$ AMZ080-161530- SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 530 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 .TODAY AND TONIGHT...N OF 27N NW OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N W OF 75W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN EXPOSED AREAS. N OF 24N E OF FRONT E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR SCATTERED SHOWERS TSTMS S OF 27N W OF 71W. .MON AND MON NIGHT...WINDS BECOMING E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT... EXCEPT S OF 27N W OF 71W E TO SE 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT... EXCEPT S OF 27N W OF 71W 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 27N W OF 71W. .TUE...W OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT N OF 27N AHEAD OF FRONT LATE...EXCEPT FAR NW PART BECOMING W TO NW. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT LATE. E OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS NW PART ALONG AND FRONT. .WED AND THU...NW OF FRONT NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING N 10 TO 15 KT THU. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. N OF 26N SE OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT 25 TO 30 KT N OF 29N WITHIN 180 NM E OF FRONT... DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT THU THEN BECOMING E TO SE 5 TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT...EXCEPT N OF 29N 9 TO 11 FT WITHIN 180 NM E OF FRONT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT THU. S OF 26N SE OF FRONT TO 70W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. S OF 26N E OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG FRONT. $$ FORECASTER AGUIRRE