000 FZNT23 KNHC 251454 OFFNT3 ATLC/CARIBBEAN OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SW AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...THE SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS...AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA. SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-252130- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA NEAR 18.3N 60.4W 1008 MB AT 11 AM EDT MOVING W AT 08 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 GUSTS TO 45 KT. OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE N PORTION OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH THROUGH TUE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. IT WILL REACH 18.8N 61.5W EARLY THIS EVENING... THEN TURN NW TO 19.6N 62.8W MON MORNING...TO 20.6N 64.1W EARLY MON NIGHT...TO 21.4N 65.0W EARLY TUE MORNING...THEN JUST NW OF AREA TO 22.9N 66.0W BY EARLY WED. A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL N ATLC BY WED MORNING AND REACH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THU. $$ AMZ082-252130- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011 .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...S OF 17N E OF 83W E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 81W. .MON AND MON NIGHT...S OF 17N E OF 81W E WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 82W. .TUE AND WED...S OF 17N E OF 81W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT IN E SWELL. .THU...S OF 81N E OF 80W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 85W E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. W OF 85W NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ084-252130- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011 .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 11N E OF 79W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT TONIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. N OF 11N W OF 79W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 11N VARIABLE WINDS MAINLY SW TO W 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT IN NE SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS S OF 12N. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 12N WINDS S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT IN NE SWELL. .TUE AND WED...N OF 12N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT IN NE SWELL. S OF 12N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. .THU...N OF 11N E OF 80W E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT...EXCEPT N OF 12N E OF 78W 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 11N E OF 80W W TO NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. W OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ AMZ086-252130- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 1130 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011 .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...S OF 17N W OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF 69W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. E OF 69W E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT IN NE SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS NE PART. .MON THROUGH TUE...S OF 15N W OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT ...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT MON NIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT... SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT TUE. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .WED...E OF 68W SE TO S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL. W OF 68W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .THU...N OF 15N E OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. S OF 14N W OF 68W E WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. $$ AMZ087-252130- TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 15N W OF 57W... .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...TROPICAL FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF OPHELIA. HIGHEST WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT. HIGHEST SEAS 16 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 14N WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. S OF 15N E OF 57W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL. S OF 15N W OF 57W S TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 7 FT SUN AND SUN NIGHT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND TSTMS N OF 15N. .MON THROUGH TUE...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT...DIMINISHING TO 90 NM MON NIGHT. HIGHEST WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. HIGHEST SEAS 15 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 16N W OF 59W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT...DIMINISHING TO SE TO 15 TO 20 KT TUE. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT...SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 7 FT TUE. N OF 16N E OF 58W WINDS DIMINISHING TO E TO SE 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT. REMAINDER AREA SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT E OF 60W MON NIGHT AND TUE. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND TSTMS N OF 17N W OF 57W...MOVING NW OF AREA LATE TUE. .WED...N OF 19N W OF 64W S TO SW WINDS 30 TO 40 KT EARLY...THEN DIMINISHING TO E TO SE 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT EARLY... SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 15N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT IN E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FAR NW PART EARLY. .THU...S OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. N OF 18N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. $$ AMZ088-252130- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 1130 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011 .SYNOPSIS...A STATIONARY 1023 MB HIGH NEAR BERMUDA WITH A RIDGE SW TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO FRESH E TO SE WINDS MAINLY E OF THE BAHAMAS THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 78W WILL SLOWLY LIFT N OF THE AREA THROUGH MON. TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA OVER THE NW TROPICAL N ATLC IS FORECAST TO TRACK NW TO 20.6N 64.1W EARLY MON NIGHT... TO 21.4N 65.0W TUE MORNING...THEN TURN MORE TO THE N REACHING TO NEAR 22.9N 66.0W WED MORNING AND TO 25.0N 67.0W BY THU MORNING. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE FAR NW PORTION THU. $$ AMZ080-252130- SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 1130 AM EDT SUN SEP 25 2011 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 21N E OF 68W TUE THROUGH THU.... .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 27N BETWEEN 71W AND 77W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N W OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT W OF 79W VARIABLE 5 TO 10 KT...BECOMING S 10 TO 15 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT...EXCEPT W OF 79W 2 TO 3 FT. N OF 26N E OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 26N E OF 70W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT IN N SWELL. S OF 26N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 26N W OF 78W SE TO S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS BETWEEN 75W AND 79W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 27N E OF 75W. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 27N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT W OF 75W S TO SW. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN SE SWELL. S OF 27N E OF BAHAMAS E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT E OF 70W LATE MON AND NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT FROM 21N TO 24N E OF 68W MON NIGHT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL BUILDING TO 9 TO 12 FT FROM 21N TO 24N E OF 68W MON NIGHT. S OF 27N W OF BAHAMAS E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 20N TO 24N E OF 68W BECOMING NUMEROUS MON NIGHT. .TUE THROUGH THU...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 21N E OF 68W. ELSEWHERE E OF 70W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT EXCEPT S OF OPHELIA SHIFTING TO W TO NW...AND DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT S OF 22N WED AND S OF 25N THU. N OF 27N W OF 74W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. W OF BAHAMAS E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. REMAINDER AREA VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS E OF 67W NEAR OPHELIA. $$ FORECASTER AGUIRRE