000 FZNT23 KNHC 021517 OFFNT3 ATLC/CARIBBEAN OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SW AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT TUE AUG 02 2011 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...THE SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS...AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA. SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-022130- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 AM EDT TUE AUG 02 2011 .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM EMILY NEAR 15.3N 63.6W AT 1500 UTC IS CURRENTLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. EMILY IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES TO 15.7N 66.0W TONIGHT...16.5N 68.3W WED MORNING...17.5N70.5W WED EVENING...THEN INLAND OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 19.0N 73.0W EARLY THU. E TRADES WILL INCREASE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THU AND PERSIST THROUGH SAT. $$ AMZ082-022130- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 AM EDT TUE AUG 02 2011 .THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...S OF 18N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 18N NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS SW PART. .WED AND WED NIGHT...S OF 18N NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. N OF 18N N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. .THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. .SAT...S OF 18N E OF 79W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL. N OF 18N E OF 79W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. W OF 79W E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. $$ AMZ084-022130- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 AM EDT TUE AUG 02 2011 .THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THU...N OF 12N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 12N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS S OF 12N. .FRI...N OF 12N NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. S OF 12N N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. .SAT...N OF 12N E OF 80W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING 5 TO 8 FT IN E SWELL. N OF 12N W OF 80W NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 12N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. $$ AMZ086-022130- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 1130 AM EDT TUE AUG 02 2011 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 15N E OF 72W... .THIS AFTERNOON...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF EMILY. MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KT GUST TO 45 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N E OF 67W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. S OF 15N E OF 67W SE TO S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN NE SWELL. W OF 67W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND SCATTERED TSTMS E OF 68W. .TONIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE OF EMILY. MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KT GUST TO 50 KT TONIGHT...INCREASING TO 50 KT GUST 60 KT WED NIGHT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH HIGHEST SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N BETWEEN 65W AND 74W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. E OF 65W SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 15N BETWEEN 65W AND 71W SE TO S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. S OF 15N BETWEEN 71W AND 73W AND W OF 73W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 15N E OF 72W. .THU...E OF 71W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. W OF 71W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 15N W OF 68W. .FRI AND SAT...E OF 67W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. W OF 67W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT. $$ AMZ087-022130- TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 AM EDT TUE AUG 02 2011 .THIS AFTERNOON...N OF 15N W OF 57W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. N OF 15N E OF 57W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 7 FT. S OF 15N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 15N. .TONIGHT...N OF 16N W OF 60W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. N OF 16N E OF 60W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. S OF 16N NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 16N W OF 60W. .WED...N OF 16N W OF 60W E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 60W. .THU THROUGH SAT...N OF 13N E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. S OF 15N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. $$ AMZ088-022130- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 1130 AM EDT TUE AUG 02 2011 .SYNOPSIS...WEAK HIGH PRES RIDGE WILL REMAIN ALONG 26N THROUGH WED...THEN WILL SHIFT N TO NEAR 29N THU. A TROUGH IN THE NW PART OF THE AREA EXTENDS FROM 31N77W TO 28N80W. THIS TROUGH WILL SHIFT E AND EXTEND FROM 31N71W TO 29N76W WED MORNING WHERE IT WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE. TROPICAL STORM EMILY IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES WNW FROM THE NE CARIBBEAN INTO THE BAHAMAS THU THROUGH SAT. $$ AMZ080-022130- SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 1130 AM EDT TUE AUG 02 2011 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED S OF 24N W OF 75W THU THROUGH SAT... .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...W OF TROUGH W TO NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. N OF 28N E OF TROUGH SW TO W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. FROM 26N TO 28N S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT E OF BAHAMAS...1 FT W OF BAHAMAS. S OF 22N E OF 71W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 26N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT E OF BAHAMAS AND 2 TO 3 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS N OF 28N E OF TROUGH TO 70W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS SE PART. .WED AND WED NIGHT...S OF 23N E OF 74W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING 9 TO 14 FT. S OF 23N W OF 74W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT E OF BAHAMAS AND 2 TO 4 FT W OF BAHAMAS. FROM 23N TO 28N SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT E OF BAHAMAS AND 2 TO 3 FT W OF BAHAMAS. N OF 27N E OF 72W SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. N OF 27N W OF 72W S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND SCATTERED TSTMS S OF 23N W OF 74W. .THU THROUGH SAT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF EMILY. MAXIMUM SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT BY SAT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE OF EMILY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. WITHIN 180 NM SE OF EMILY WINDS 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING 5 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 28N E OF 74W SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. N OF 28N S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT SHIFTING E TO NE W OF 70W LATE FRI. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT SAT. $$ FORECASTER AL/DGS