000 FZNT23 KNHC 151502 OFFNT3 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE SW AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011 CORRECTED FOR SW N ATLC MON AND MON NIGHT OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...THE SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS...AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA. SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. AMZ089-152130- SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011 .SYNOPSIS...LACK OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGH WED WILL INHIBIT EASTERLY TRADE WINDS. THE RIDGE BUILDS TO THE N LATE WED TO THU WITH SE RETURN FLOW THEN BECOMING FRESH IN THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL PASS THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC S OF 12N TUE THROUGH WED AND INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THU WHERE IT WILL MEET UP WITH THE TROUGH THAT CURRENTLY LIES FROM THE MONA PASSAGE TO FAR NE COLOMBIA. $$ AMZ082-152130- NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011 .THIS AFTERNOON...VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT S TO SW WINDS 10 KT W OF 85W. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. .TONIGHT...N OF 20N W TO NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT EXCEPT 3 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL. ELSEWHERE VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT E TO SE WINDS 10 KT S OF 20N W OF 84W. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 20N W TO NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT EXCEPT 3 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL. S OF 20N W OF 85W E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. ELSEWHERE VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. .TUE...N OF 20N W TO NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT EXCEPT 3 FT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL. S OF 20N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. .WED AND THU...W OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 KT EXCEPT S OF 18N W OF 83W E TO SE 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT LATE WED. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT W OF 83W AND 1 TO 2 FT BETWEEN 80W AND 83W...SEAS BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT S OF 18N W OF 83W. E OF 80W VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. $$ AMZ084-152130- SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 75W 1130 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011 .THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MON NIGHT...N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT NE TO E WINDS W OF 80W. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. .TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. .WED...N OF 11N W OF 78W WINDS E TO SE 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. N OF 11N E OF 78W N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. S OF 11N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. .THU...N OF 10N E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. N OF 10N W OF 80W E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. S OF 10N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. $$ AMZ086-152130- E CARIBBEAN E OF 75W TO THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS 1130 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011 .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...W OF TROUGH NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. E OF TROUGH SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT OCCASIONALLY 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS E OF 70W. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR TSTMS. .MON THROUGH TUE...W OF TROUGH NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. E OF TROUGH SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS E OF 70W. .WED AND THU...E OF 69W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT TO 20 KT N OF 14N E OF 68W. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT EXCEPT TO 6 FT N OF 14N. W OF 69W N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS E OF 72W. $$ AMZ087-152130- TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W 1130 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011 .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 16N SE TO S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT IN N SWELL. S OF 16N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN MIXED N AND E SWELL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS. .MON THROUGH TUE...N OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN N SWELL. S OF 18N E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT S OF 14N TUE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL BUILDING TO 8 FT SE PART LATE TUE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 12N TUE. .WED AND THU...N OF 16N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT SHIFTING NE TO E WED NIGHT AND THU. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 16N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE THU. SEAS 6 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WED. $$ AMZ088-152130- SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS 1130 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011 .SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT IS JUST CLIPPING THE FAR NW WATERS AND WILL EXTEND FROM 31N78W TO 27N79W TO WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL BE REINFORCED BY A SERIES OF FRONTAL TROUGHS THROUGH TUE BEFORE LIFTING N OF THE AREA BY LATE WED. RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE E ALONG 29N ON THU. $$ AMZ080-152130- SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS 1130 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011 .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 27N W OF 74W SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT OCCASIONALLY 25 KT SHIFTING W TO NW BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. N OF 27N E OF 74W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT FAR NE PART. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. FROM 23N TO 27N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN N TO NE SWELL E OF BAHAMAS...AND 1 TO 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. S OF 23N E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT IN N SWELL E OF BAHAMAS...AND 2 TO 4 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT AND ISOLATED TSTMS SE PART. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 27N W OF 71W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT EXCEPT W TO NW WINDS BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. N OF 27N E OF 71W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N E OF BAHAMAS S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N W OF BAHAMAS VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT W OF 78W. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG FRONTAL TROUGH. .TUE AND WED...N OF 27N W OF 71W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT EXCEPT SW TO W BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. N OF 27N E OF 71W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN SE SWELL. S OF 27N E OF BAHAMAS S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N W OF BAHAMAS SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT...HIGHEST W OF 78W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG FRONTAL TROUGH. .THU...N OF 27N W OF 70W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. N OF 27N E OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. FROM 23N TO 27N SE TO S WINDS 10 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT W OF BAHAMAS. SEAS 2 TO 4 E OF BAHAMAS AND 1 TO 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. S OF 23N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT EXCEPT NE TO E WINDS 10 KT W OF BAHAMAS. SEAS 3TO 5 E OF BAHAMAS AND 1 TO 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. $$ FORECASTER GR