000 FZNT32 KNHC 051551 OFFN21 Marine Weather HF Voice Broadcast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1151 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024 Marine Weather HF Voice Broadcast for the Gulf of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height. .SYNOPSIS...Newly formed Tropical Depression Fourteen is over the southwestern Gulf near 22.1N 95.1W, or about 180 nm NNE of Veracruz, Mexico at 11 AM EDT moving north-northeast at 3 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Tropical Depression Fourteen is forecast to strengthen to a tropical storm near 22.5N 94.9W this evening with maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt, and continue to strengthen as it reaches near 22.9N 94.2W Sun morning with maximum sustained 45 kt gusts 55 kt, to near 22.8N 93.0W Sun evening with maximum sustained winds 55 kt gusts 65 kt and intensify into a hurricane near 22.9N 91.6W Mon morning with maximum sustained winds 70 kt gusts 85 kt. Hurricane Fourteen is forecast to reach near 23.4N 89.8W Mon evening with maximum sustained winds 85 kt gusts 105 kt and to near 24.3N 87.6W Tue morning with maximum sustained winds 95 kt gusts 115 kt. Hurricane Fourteen is forecast to change little in intensity as it moves to the near 27.0N 83.4W early Wed, then begin to weaken as it crosses the Florida peninsula reaching to waters E of northern Florida near 29.9N 78.3W early on Thu. A front is expected to develop across the northern Gulf through the weekend, with increasing winds and building seas N and W of the boundary. Conditions may finally improve across the basin toward the end of the week. Gulf of Mexico N of 26N W of 87W .THIS AFTERNOON...E winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...NE winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Gulf of Mexico from 22N to 26N W of 87W ...HURRICANE WARNING... .THIS AFTERNOON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SE winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E winds 30 to 40 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. SE winds 40 to 50 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. N winds 45 to 60 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE winds 60 to 75 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SW Gulf of Mexico S of 22N W of 87W ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .THIS AFTERNOON...W winds 15 to 25 kt within 60 nm of coast of Veracruz, and SW 20 to 30 kt elsewhere. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Within 60 nm of coast of Veracruz, NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Elsewhere, W winds 20 to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. W winds 15 to 25 kt within 60 nm of coast of Veracruz, and SW 20 to 30 kt elsewhere. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. Within 60 nm of coast of Veracruz, NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Elsewhere, W winds 20 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 ft within 60 nm of coast of Veracruz, and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere. .MON...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NW winds 20 to 30 kt within 60 nm of coast of Veracruz, and W 30 to 40 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft within 60 nm of coast of Veracruz, and 6 to 9 ft elsewhere. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. .WED...NW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Gulf of Mexico E of 87W .THIS AFTERNOON...SE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...SE winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...SE winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .TUE NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .WED...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.