000 FZNT27 KNHC 161434 OFFN06 NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 AM CDT SUN OCT 16 2011 ...PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST AVAILABLE THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR A MORE DETAILED FORECAST WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COASTLINE... SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO .SYNOPSIS...A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM SW FLORIDA NEAR 26N86W TO 25N90W WILL GRADUALLY LIFT N AS A WARM FRONT WHILE DISSIPATING THROUGH TUE. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRES OVER THE SE UNITED STATES AND LOW PRES OVER THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG NE TO E WINDS TO PERSIST OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF THROUGH TUE WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE S WATERS. THE LOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT SLOWLY TRACKS NW. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE RAPIDLY SE ACROSS THE GULF TUE THROUGH WED SHIFTING SE BY WED NIGHT. HIGH PRES BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH NW GULF N OF 25N W OF 90W INCLUDING THE FLOWER GARDEN BANKS NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY .THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MON...S OF 27N E OF 93W NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT...BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT...BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FT IN E SWELL MON. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...N TO NE WINDS 15 KT...BECOMING NW TO N 20 TO 30 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL...BUILDING TO 7 TO 11 FT BEHIND FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .WED...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT LATE. .THU...N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO NE TO E LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT LATE. SW GULF S OF 25N W OF 90W .THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MON NIGHT...E OF 95W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO NEAR GALE FORCE THIS AFTERNOON...EXCEPT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT E OF 92W MON NIGHT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT BUILDING TO 9 TO 13 FT TONIGHT...EXCEPT SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 7 FT E OF 92W MON NIGHT. S OF 21N W OF 95W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT MON NIGHT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 8 FT MON NIGHT. N OF 21N W OF 95W N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO NW TO N MON. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .TUE...E OF 94W NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT BEHIND NEW FRONT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT...BUILDING TO 7 TO 11 FT IN N SWELL BEHIND NEW FRONT. W OF 93W NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT ...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT BEHIND NEW FRONT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS S OF 21N W OF 94W. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT...BUILDING TO 7 TO 11 FT TUE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .WED...S OF 21N W OF 94W NW TO N WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT... SUBSIDING TO 7 TO 10 FT LATE. ELSEWHERE N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT... DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL... SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 10 FT LATE. .THU...S OF 21N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 6 FT LATE. N OF 21N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO NE TO E LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT W OF 94W...AND 7 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL E OF 94W...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT THROUGHOUT LATE. MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W ...GALE WARNING S OF 25N... .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...S OF 25N NE TO E WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. N OF 25N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL FROM 25N TO 27N...AND 4 TO 7 FT N OF 27N. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND TSTMS S OF 25N. .MON AND MON NIGHT...S OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. N OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT... BECOMING N 15 TO 20 KT MON NIGHT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL... SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 8 FT MON NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS. .TUE...E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT...BUILDING TO 7 TO 11 FT LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .WED...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT TO 30 KT NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. .THU...S OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING NE 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT LATE. N OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT... SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT LATE. E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W .THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 26N E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO NEAR GALE FORCE SW PART. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT...EXCEPT UP TO 13 FT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA. AREAS OF RAIN. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS S OF 25N. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 20 KT...BECOMING SE TO S 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT LATE. S OF 26N SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT LATE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR FRONT. .TUE...S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING NW 20 TO 25 KT BEHIND NEW FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT BEHIND NEW FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG NEW FRONT. .WED...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT SW 15 KT AHEAD OF FRONT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT...EXCEPT 4 TO 6 FT AHEAD OF FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG FRONT. .THU...NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT LATE. $$