627 FZNT25 KNHC 071528 OFFN04 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1028 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... Southeast Gulf of Mexico .SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Rafael is near 24.5N 85.2W at 10 AM EST, and is moving west-northwest at 8 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 85 kt with gusts to 105 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 971 mb. Rafael will move to 24.6N 86.7W this evening, 24.6N 88.4W Fri morning, 24.6N 89.8W Fri evening, 24.7N 91.0W Sat morning, weaken to a tropical storm near 24.7N 91.9W Sat evening, and 24.5N 92.6W Sun morning. Rafael will change little in intensity as it moves to the western-central Gulf waters near 24.0N 93.2W early Mon. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TODAY...HURRICANE CONDITIONS. E to SE winds 70 to 80 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. Vsby 1 NM or less. .TONIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E to SE winds 65 to 75 kt, diminishing to 40 to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E to SE winds 30 to 35 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft in SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SAT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .MON...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida .SYNOPSIS...The pressure gradient between a broad ridge over the central and western subtropical Atlantic waters and a surface trough just E of Puerto Rico will support fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas across the offshore waters E of the central and southern Bahamas to 55W through Fri evening. The trough is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the SE offshore waters NE of Puerto Rico. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward near the Greater Antilles. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible across the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas through Saturday. .TODAY...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt S of 27N, and E to SE 15 to 20 kt N of 27N. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .TONIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .FRI...E winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and E 15 to 20 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .FRI NIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and NE to E 10 to 15 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SAT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. .SUN...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. .MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.