537 FZNT25 KNHC 050900 OFFN04 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 400 AM EST Tue Nov 5 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... Southeast Gulf of Mexico .SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Rafael is near 17.0N 78.0W at 4 AM EST, and is moving northwest at 11 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 993 mb. Rafael will move to 18.4N 79.2W this afternoon, strengthen to a hurricane near 20.3N 80.8W Wed morning, 22.2N 82.5W Wed afternoon, 23.9N 84.0W Thu morning, 25.0N 85.3W Thu afternoon, and 25.8N 86.5W Fri morning. Rafael will weaken to a tropical storm near 26.8N 89.0W early Sat. Otherwise, a broad high pressure ridge extends from the western Atlantic into the southeastern U.S. The pressure gradient between this ridge and troughs over Mexico and the northwest Caribbean are supporting fresh winds and moderate seas across most of the Gulf region. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TODAY...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E winds 30 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. E winds 65 to 75 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .THU...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E to SE winds 65 to 75 kt. Seas 11 to 16 ft. .THU NIGHT...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .FRI...HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. .SAT...E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida .SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Rafael is near 17.0N 78.0W at 4 AM EST, and is moving northwest at 11 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 993 mb. Rafael will move to 18.4N 79.2W this afternoon, strengthen to a hurricane near 20.3N 80.8W Wed morning, 22.2N 82.5W Wed afternoon, 23.9N 84.0W Thu morning, 25.0N 85.3W Thu afternoon, and 25.8N 86.5W Fri morning. Rafael will weaken to a tropical storm near 26.8N 89.0W early Sat. Otherwise, a trough extends from Cuba to 26N70W. The pressure gradient between the trough and strong high pressure north of the region is supporting strong to near gale- force easterly winds and rough to very rough seas across the waters north of the trough. The trough will shift westward today, as building high pressure north of the area follows a cold front moving across the western Atlantic. The front will become stationary and weaken along 22N by Wed. .TODAY...E winds 25 to 30 kt S of 27N, and E 20 to 25 kt N of 27N. Seas 5 to 7 ft S of 27N, and 8 to 11 ft N of 27N. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft S of 27N, and 8 to 11 ft N of 27N. .WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E to SE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft S of 27N, and 6 to 9 ft N of 27N. .WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. E to SE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft S of 27N, and 6 to 9 ft N of 27N. .THU...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft S of 27N, and 6 to 8 ft N of 27N. .THU NIGHT...E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft S of 27N, and 5 to 7 ft N of 27N. .FRI...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft S of 27N, and 4 to 6 ft N of 27N. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft S of 27N, and 4 to 6 ft N of 27N. .SAT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft S of 27N, and 5 to 7 ft N of 27N.