000 FZNT25 KNHC 160327 OFFN04 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 1127 PM EDT Thu Aug 15 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... Southeast Gulf of Mexico .SYNOPSIS...High pressure behind a surface trough that extends from Mississippi to Tampa Bay, Florida will support moderate to fresh winds and a slight building of seas in the NE Gulf. High pressure builds across the basin this weekend into early next week, centered near 24N with moderate or weaker winds and mainly slight seas. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh winds, and scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected along the Yucatan Peninsula each evening through the period. .OVERNIGHT...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered tstms. .SUN...SE winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to N to NE in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to S to SW after midnight. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON NIGHT...W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to S to SW 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...SW to W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida .SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Ernesto is near 27.1N 68.1W at 11 PM EDT, and is moving north-northeast at 12 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 85 kt with gusts to 105 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 968 mb. Ernesto will move to 28.5N 67.1W Fri morning, 30.4N 65.9W Fri evening, 32.1N 65.1W Sat morning, 33.5N 64.8W Sat evening, 35.4N 64.1W Sun morning, and 38.2N 62.6W Sun evening. Ernesto will change little in intensity as it moves near 45.6N 54.6W late Mon. Large swells generated by Ernesto will spread westward to Bahamas and SE United States coast including Florida. Meanwhile, a weak frontal boundary NW of Ernesto to just NE of Freeport in the Bahamas will remain stalled before dissipating through Fri evening. Conditions should improve across the basin Sun into early next week in the wake of Ernesto. .OVERNIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and NE 15 to 20 kt N of 27N. Seas 4 to 6 ft in E swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NE to E swell. .SUN...SE to S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S of 27N, E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to S after midnight. N of 27N, S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .MON...SW winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and SW 15 to 20 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and S to SW 10 to 15 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .TUE...S winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and SW 10 to 15 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 4 ft.