903 FZNT25 KNHC 152048 OFFN04 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 448 PM EDT Thu Aug 15 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... Southeast Gulf of Mexico .SYNOPSIS...A currently stalled weak frontal boundary from Central Florida to near New Orleans, Louisiana will sag into the SE Gulf through Fri before stalling again and dissipating. High pressure behind it will support moderate to fresh winds and a slight building of seas in the NE Gulf. High pressure builds across the basin this weekend into early next week, centered near 24N with moderate or weaker winds and mainly slight seas. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh winds, and scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected along the Yucatan Peninsula each evening through the period. .TONIGHT...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN...SE to S winds less than 5 kt, shifting to N to NE in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .SUN NIGHT...E winds less than 5 kt,shifting to S to SW late. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...SW to W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON NIGHT...W to NW winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to S to SW late. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...SW to W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...W winds less than 5 kt, shifting to S to SW 5 kt late. Seas 2 ft or less. Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida .SYNOPSIS...Hurricane Ernesto is near 26.1N 68.9W at 5 PM EDT, and is moving north at 11 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 75 kt with gusts to 90 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 972 mb. Ernesto will move to 27.6N 68.1W Fri morning, 29.5N 66.9W Fri afternoon, 31.3N 65.8W Sat morning approaching Bermuda, 32.9N 65.2W Sat afternoon very near Bermuda, then moving away to 34.5N 64.9W Sun morning. Large swells generated by Ernesto will spread westward to Bahamas and SE United States coast including Florida. Meanwhile, a weak frontal boundary from west of Ernesto to central Florida will drift southward and stall and dissipate from near the Central Bahamas to the upper Florida Keys through Fri evening. Conditions should improve across the basin Sun into early next week in the wake of Ernesto. .TONIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and NE 15 to 20 kt N of 27N. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 5 to 7 ft N of 27N. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI...N winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and NE 10 to 15 kt N of 27N. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 5 to 7 ft N of 27N. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .FRI NIGHT...NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and NE 10 to 15 kt N of 27N. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 5 to 7 ft N of 27N. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 4 to 6 ft N of 27N. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 4 to 6 ft N of 27N. .SUN...SE winds less than 5 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 to 5 ft N of 27N. .SUN NIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 to 5 ft N of 27N. .MON...SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 to 5 ft N of 27N. .MON NIGHT...S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 to 5 ft N of 27N. .TUE...S to SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 to 4 ft N of 27N. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 ft N of 27N.