000
FZNT25 KNHC 140935
OFFN04

NAVTEX Marine Forecast
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
535 AM EDT Wed Aug 14 2024

...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available
through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed
Coastal Waters Forecasts...

Southeast Gulf of Mexico

.SYNOPSIS...A weak surface ridge will maintain gentle to
moderate winds and slight to moderate seas across most of the
basin into this weekend. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh
winds are expected along the Yucatan Peninsula each evening
through the weekend. 

.TODAY...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.TONIGHT...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms. 
.FRI...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, building to 3 ft
in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SAT...NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SAT NIGHT...E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN...S winds less than 5 kt, shifting to NW in the afternoon.
Seas 2 ft or less. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds less than 5 kt, shifting to S to SW 5 kt
after midnight. Seas 2 ft or less.  

Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida

.SYNOPSIS...A broad ridge extends from the central Atlantic W-SW
 to central Florida, and will shift E and weaken through Thu. 
Tropical Storm Ernesto is near 19.5N 66.6W at 5 AM AST, moving 
west-northwest at 14 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 60 kt with 
gusts to 75 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 996 mb. 
Ernesto will move NW and strengthen to a hurricane near 21.1N 
67.8W this afternoon, then turn northward and continue to 
gradually strengthen, reaching near 25.7N 68.8W Thu afternoon, 
near 29.5N 66.2W Fri afternoon, then reach near Bermuda Sat 
morning. In its wake, high pressure will gradually build westward 
along 21N late Fri into the weekend. A weak frontal boundary will 
drop southward across the northwestern part of the area beginning 
late Wed, and stall to the NW of Ernesto by Fri, producing 
moderate to fresh NE winds behind it. Large swell from Ernesto 
will spread W of 75W early Fri through Sat morning.

.TODAY...S of 27N, E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt. N of 27N, S to SW
winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to W in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and NE to E 10 to 15 kt N
of 27N. Seas 2 ft or less, building to 3 ft after midnight.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms. 
.THU...S of 27N, SE to S winds less than 5 kt, shifting to NW in
the afternoon. N of 27N, N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and N to NE 15 to 20 kt
N of 27N. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers and
isolated tstms. 
.FRI...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SAT...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in NE to E swell.
.SAT NIGHT...NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to SE to S after
midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft in NE to E swell. 
.SUN...SE to S winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft in NE to E
swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.